Treasure Chest RYC/Y8

Y-12 Women's Foil

Monday, January 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAN Mila 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 88%
2 THOTA Akira 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
3 PAN Samantha 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 23%
3 LAM Dorris Yandor 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
5 LIN Avery 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
6 HOM Emma 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
7 CHOI Jian 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
8 KIM Ines 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
9 NICOLETTI Thea 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
10 JOESUF Thea 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
11 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
12 MAHAPATRA Alisha 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41% 3%
13 YUNG Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 34%
14 KIM Audrey 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%
15 CHUNG Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
16 ZHU Claire 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 4%
17 PAWAR Sanvi 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28% 4%
18 GUO Jianing 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
19 TATINENI Charvi 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
20 SHU Kayla 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
21 KO Adeline 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 23% 1%
22 ZALTZMAN Maya 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 15%
23 KHANAL Sarah 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
24 PAK SU YEON 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
25 DONG Nancy 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
26 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
27 ZHAI Muyan 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
28 CHEN Chloe 100% 99% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1%
29 TIAN Claire 100% 99% 88% 52% 16% 1%
30 LUO Olivia 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
31 TUNG Alison 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
32 LAI Olivia 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
33 ZHANG Annabelle 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
34 LEE Clara 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
35 GAO Nicole 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
36 TAGNE Zoey 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
37 JUSON Julianne Lauren 100% 91% 58% 19% 3% - -
38 LIN Vienna 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
39 CHANG Audrey 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 3% -
40 KO Alyssa 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
41 LI Claire 100% 99% 87% 54% 16% 2% -
42 ALEKSANDROVA Miroslava 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
43 YANG Claire 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
44 KUO Esme 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
45 LEE Madison 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
46 YEN Kayleigh 100% 95% 67% 26% 4% - -
48 GU Alexandra 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
49 WANG Muse 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
50 HSU Courtney 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% - -
51 CHEN Celina 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
52 ROSIN Milena 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
52 LEE Juniper 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
54 CHUNG Songyoon 100% 68% 22% 3% - - -
55 SCHOR Katherine 100% 69% 21% 3% - - -
56 LOPEZ-HOR Emma Meixian 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
56 GUO Christine 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% - -
58 YANG Lucy 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
59 MISSON Arya 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
60 LEE Annalyn 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
61 SOUSA Lauren 100% 86% 46% 12% 1% - -
62 KUO Liang-Jun 100% 80% 34% 7% 1% -
63 DONG Ena 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.