Treasure Chest RYC/Y8

Y-14 Women's Saber

Monday, January 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Jadyn 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 5%
2 MISHEV Lila 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 61%
3 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 ARVIND Heera 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
5 CONG Catherine 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12%
6 SANTIAGO Hannah 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 18%
7 MORINAGA Mirai 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
8 ZOFFEL Gabriela 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
9 CHU Lauren 100% 95% 69% 27% 4% -
10 FISCHER Luna 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
11 ARAVIND Aaradhana 100% 96% 68% 25% 3% -
12 YANG Renee 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
13 KISARA-KELLY Aiko 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 3% -
14 GO Noa 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
14 LOUIE Amelia 100% 97% 77% 35% 5% -
16 WOO Sophia 100% 90% 51% 16% 2% - -
17 BADDEPUDI Sreenika 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2%
18 LI Diya 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
19 HONG Emory 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.