Skyward Fencing January Competition

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, January 11, 2026 at 11:45 AM

Skyward Fencing - South Barrington, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FELICIANO Damien 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
2 PETERSEN Ephraim 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
3 SHOEMAKER Oliver 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26% 4%
3 FARLAM Reya 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 8%
5 BUTTA Reese 100% 100% 99% 86% 51% 14% 1%
6 BRANNON Nathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 10%
6 SNYDER Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
8 DURHAM Porter 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 20%
9 BOZARTH Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 10%
10 ERASTUS-OBILO Milan 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 16% 2%
11 WU Jia Y. 100% 97% 67% 26% 5% 1% -
12 HENSEL Kaeleb 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
13 HONERMEIER Max 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
14 SWANSON Dave 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
15 SLEZAK Christian 100% 100% 92% 55% 16% 2% -
16 KATZMAN Anara 100% 92% 53% 16% 2% - -
17 CAMPBELL Finn 100% 100% 94% 65% 23% 3% -
18 BURKHARDT Krista L. 100% 100% 97% 80% 34% 5% -
19 LOHR-KOUGL Eadrick 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
20 SHUKLA Annika 100% 65% 20% 2% - - -
21 PAPP Mike 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
22 ABERA ruth 100% 100% 96% 69% 24% 2% -
23 CHEEVER Katie 100% 59% 13% 1% - - -
23 FATIMA Shazia 100% 82% 42% 13% 2% - -
25 TORRES Mya 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
26 REESE Lauren 100% 71% 23% 3% - - -
27 LUNDSGAARD Emily 100% 65% 19% 3% - - -
28 MESHENBERG zoe 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.