Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HERNASA Anna - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
2 CHO Jacey - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
3 ELSTON Sophie - - - - 4% 29% 67%
3 JAQUISH Zoey - 3% 16% 37% 33% 10% 1%
5 FISCHBEIN Quinley - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
6 XU Emily (Hua) - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
7 KANE Chloe - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
8 MAI Mailan - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
9 ZU Jacqueline 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% < 1%
10 MANDAP Alessandra - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
11 CHEONG Chloe - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 8%
12 BURKS Madison - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
13 BLAETZ Isadora - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
14 GAGARING Genia - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
15 GRAZIANO Ruby Mae 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
16 HERD Angela 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
17 OPERARIO Sofia Francesca - 2% 13% 35% 36% 13% 1%
18 YIP Allison 4% 19% 35% 30% 12% 2%
19 LEE Adelynn 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 5%
21 SHERMAN Olivia - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
22 KIM Vivian 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
23 HASIM Eurietta - - 3% 16% 40% 36% 5%
24 GARCIA Sophia Noelle 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
25 KENNEDY Skyler 15% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
26 GRAZIANO Josephine 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% - -
27 UEMURA Lyllia 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
28 YUMIACO Nylah 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
29 LU Chloe 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
30 HATHAWAY Alesya 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
30 RAPTIS Layla 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% -
32 DEKERMANJI kate 6% 29% 40% 20% 4% - -
33 YOON Claire 21% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
34 LI Carlie 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
35 TESLENKO Ekaterina 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
36 NEWHOUSE Chantal 30% 44% 22% 4% - - -
37 LUCENA Yaretzi 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
38 SCANLAN Alina Nev 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
39 CHENG Yiwen 8% 30% 39% 19% 4% -
40 WEINBERG Milena 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.