Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HERNASA Anna 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
2 CHO Jacey 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
3 ELSTON Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 JAQUISH Zoey 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
5 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
6 XU Emily (Hua) 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 15% 2%
7 KANE Chloe 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
8 MAI Mailan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
9 ZU Jacqueline 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% < 1%
10 MANDAP Alessandra 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
11 CHEONG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 41% 8%
12 BURKS Madison 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
13 BLAETZ Isadora 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
14 GAGARING Genia 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
15 GRAZIANO Ruby Mae 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1%
16 HERD Angela 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
17 OPERARIO Sofia Francesca 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
18 YIP Allison 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
19 LEE Adelynn 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 5%
21 SHERMAN Olivia 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
22 KIM Vivian 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
23 HASIM Eurietta 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 5%
24 GARCIA Sophia Noelle 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
25 KENNEDY Skyler 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
26 GRAZIANO Josephine 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
27 UEMURA Lyllia 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
28 YUMIACO Nylah 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
29 LU Chloe 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
30 HATHAWAY Alesya 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
30 RAPTIS Layla 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% -
32 DEKERMANJI kate 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% - -
33 YOON Claire 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
34 LI Carlie 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
35 TESLENKO Ekaterina 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
36 NEWHOUSE Chantal 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
37 LUCENA Yaretzi 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% - -
38 SCANLAN Alina Nev 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
39 CHENG Yiwen 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
40 WEINBERG Milena 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.