Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Saber

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 LUC Christabel V V V V V V V V V V 5.2 6 +0.8
2 LIU Kaylee V V D V V V V V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
3 WANG April V V V V V D V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
3 QIU Isla Qiu V V V V V D V V D 2.0 5 +3.0
5 KIM Addison V V V V V V V D 3.2 6 +2.8
6 CHAN Clara Minna V V V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
7 CERVERA Zoe V V V V V V D 3.0 5 +2.0
8 CHANG Jillian V V V V D V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
9 FANG Kaitlyn V V V D D V V D 2.2 4 +1.8
10 LAKHIANI Inisha D V V V D V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
11 YANG Callie V V D D V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
12 KIM Serena V D V V D V D 3.0 3 -
13 GEORGE McKenzie V D D D V V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
14 CHEN Emma D D D V V V D 2.0 2 -
15 SU Stacy D D D V D V V D 3.2 2 -1.2
16 LEE Ella D V D D D V D 2.8 1 -1.8
17 LEI Chloe V D D V V D D 2.5 3 +0.5
18 ZHANG Madeline D D D D V V D 1.2 2 +0.8
19 NIP Sienna D D V D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
20 GOSAVI Amiya D D V D D D 1.1 1 -0.1
21 LVOVSKIY Lily D D D D V D 2.0 1 -1.0
22 KUNIMOTO Zara D V D D D D D 1.0 1 -
23 LEE Athena D D V D D D D 3.7 1 -2.7
24 TSENG Kimberly D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
25 QUAN Hailey D D D D D D D 3.9 0 -3.9
26 LOH Isabelle D D D D D D D 2.8 0 -2.8

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.