Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Saber

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUC Christabel - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
2 LIU Kaylee 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
3 WANG April - - 2% 13% 40% 41% 4%
3 QIU Isla Qiu 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% < 1% -
5 KIM Addison - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
6 CHAN Clara Minna - - 4% 19% 41% 35%
7 CERVERA Zoe 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
8 CHANG Jillian 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
9 FANG Kaitlyn 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1% -
10 LAKHIANI Inisha - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
11 YANG Callie 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
12 KIM Serena 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
13 GEORGE McKenzie - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
14 CHEN Emma 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
15 SU Stacy 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
16 LEE Ella 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
17 LEI Chloe 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
18 ZHANG Madeline 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
19 NIP Sienna 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
20 GOSAVI Amiya 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
21 LVOVSKIY Lily 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1%
22 KUNIMOTO Zara 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
23 LEE Athena - 2% 12% 30% 35% 19% 4%
24 TSENG Kimberly 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
25 QUAN Hailey < 1% 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
26 LOH Isabelle < 1% 5% 34% 41% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.