The Pixy Cup 2025-26 #2

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Circle K Fieldhouse at Nexus Park - Columbus, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 THOMAS Samuel - 1% 9% 31% 44% 16%
2 LAGUNA Genevieve 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 3%
3 SCHWAB Zach 7% 31% 40% 19% 3% -
3 DRAKE Caleb - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17%
5 SCHWAB Jonah 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
6 BECERRA Karen 1% 13% 37% 35% 12% 1%
7 MCKEON Nicholas 1% 9% 32% 39% 18% 2%
8 HEMMERLEIN Gwendolyn 28% 44% 23% 5% - -
9 JOHNSON Pamela - 2% 14% 38% 36% 10%
10 RICHMOND Saoirse 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
11 NEIGHBORS Katie 9% 42% 37% 11% 1% -
12 RYKER Sarah 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.