The Pixy Cup 2025-26 #2

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Circle K Fieldhouse at Nexus Park - Columbus, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 THOMAS Samuel 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 16%
2 LAGUNA Genevieve 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 3%
3 SCHWAB Zach 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
3 DRAKE Caleb 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 17%
5 SCHWAB Jonah 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7%
6 BECERRA Karen 100% 99% 86% 48% 14% 1%
7 MCKEON Nicholas 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
8 HEMMERLEIN Gwendolyn 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
9 JOHNSON Pamela 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 10%
10 RICHMOND Saoirse 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
11 NEIGHBORS Katie 100% 91% 49% 13% 1% -
12 RYKER Sarah 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.