Event Results
Sword in the CakeSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SAYLOR Nathaniel | V D V V | V V V V | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 2 | KENDALL Chris | V V V V | V V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 3 | HOLDORF LE GOFF Bianca | V V V V V | V V D | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| 3 | OXIE Matthew | V V V V | V V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 5 | ASIALA Niilo | D V V V V | V D | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 6 | MYERS Courtney | V V D V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 7 | CALAY Robert J. | V D V D V | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 8 | KLINE Silas | V D V D | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 9 | JACOBS Matthew | D D V V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 10 | BAKKE Alexander | V D D V D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 11 | KRAMER Emery | V D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 12 | HEWITT Lisa M. | D V D D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 13 | STEMLER Tyler | D V D D D | D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 14 | ALSTROM Lillian | D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 15 | PEREZ Breanna | D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 16 | EDWARDS Jeffrey E. | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |