Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
3 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
3 LIN Brendan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
5 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
6 HENRY Cadel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
7 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
8 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
9 WONG Hawken 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
10 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
11 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
12 PERRIN Leo 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
13 ORIE Sohan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
13 WONG Reagan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
15 ZHANG Aiden 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
16 LIN Alex 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
17 LIU Jayden 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 5%
18 KOREN George 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 14%
19 YU Jayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
20 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
21 SO Morgan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
21 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
23 LIAO Sirui 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 3%
24 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
25 BRADY Jack 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 15% 2%
26 SUH Leo 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
27 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
28 ROH Jaden 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
29 VISH Manyu 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 1%
30 BOSITA Brennan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
31 CHEN Jack 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
32 KANIA Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
33 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 14%
33 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
35 YI Andrew 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
36 JOHNSON Leland 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 24%
37 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
38 SMITH Etienne 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
39 NAFTALI Ori 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 7%
40 SOKOLOV Lucas 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
41 BROOKS Theo 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
42 ZHANG Caleb 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
43 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
44 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 7%
45 KAUL Ishaan 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
46 WANG Ziyao 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
47 BUKZIN Alan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
48 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
49 BRISENO Ethan 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
49 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
49 HE Zhikai (kyle) 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 7%
52 DUFF Michael 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
53 CHEN Felix 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 3%
54 ROBINSON Ezra 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
55 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
56 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
57 HAHN EVER 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
57 YEAZEL Colin 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2%
59 KAMURA Kosei 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
59 LI Lucas 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
61 CHEN Brian 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
62 MALEK Zak 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4% -
63 WU Vincent 100% 100% 94% 65% 25% 4%
64 HE Nolan 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
65 STOLCKE Julian 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
66 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
67 LYU Tyler 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
68 PARK Sean 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
69 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
70 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51% 12%
71 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
72 WAXLER Alex 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
73 YU Ronen 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
74 KOREN David 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
75 ZHANG Simon 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 11%
76 WANG Edward 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
77 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
78 PIPKE Garrett 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
79 ALUF Brendon 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
80 ROMBERG Sam 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 2%
81 HU Harry 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 10%
81 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 100% 90% 58% 23% 6% 1% -
83 HUA George (Hanxun) 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
84 LIU Jeremy 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 1%
85 ATA Kevin 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
86 THOMAS Tre 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
87 LIU Nico 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
88 WU Lucas 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
89 SPENCER-EL Elijah 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
90 FOUX Jonathan 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
91 TAKEBE Ren 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
92 EDWARDS Farren 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
93 RABEL Sebastian 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
94 LAN Jasper 100% 98% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
94 VINCENT Yijia 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
96 SONG Ryan 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
97 WANG ARAN 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19% 2%
98 RAMONDINI Levi 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
99 LEISTNER Armin 100% 89% 47% 13% 2% - -
100 LEIGH Brayden 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
101 WOLLOW Bennett 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% 1% -
102 LI Kent 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
103 LEE Brendan 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
104 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
105 BROOKS Isaac 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
106 SUN Leonard 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% -
107 ODIOEMENE Tonna 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 2% -
108 KONG Ethan 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% 1% -
109 LEE Aiden 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
110 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
111 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 99% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
112 LUO Gavin 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
113 SUN Stephen 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
114 ZHANG Howard 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
114 CHEN Ryan 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
116 WANG Mason 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
117 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
118 BABY Henry 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
119 ZHANG Mark 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
120 BALBALE Zayd 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
121 BLAIR Campbell 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
122 KUANG Cyrus 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
123 HONG Isaac 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
124 ARRANT Mason 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
125 LI Anton 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
126 ZHAO Alexander 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
127 URQUILLA Devin 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
128 GAW Zachary 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
129 GUERRA Corey 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
130 HU Simon 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
131 JAVIER Xavier 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
132 DARLING Andrew 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
133 PETROSYAN Aleksander 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% - -
134 YANG Justin 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
135 XIONG Robert 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
136 PERKINS, JR LeVar 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5% -
137 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% -
138 TO Aiden 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
139 BURCH III Andrew J. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7% -
140 FAVO Christopher 100% 100% 94% 73% 33% 5%
141 KOHLER Vaughn 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
142 PARK Layne 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
143 BIVIJI Adam 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
145 LAI Mars 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
146 FU BRANDEN 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 4%
147 MIKHAILOV Andrei 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2%
149 KIM Derek 100% 98% 80% 37% 8% 1% -
150 NORTON Hudson 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
151 TANJGA Luka 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
152 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
153 RABEL Alexander 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
154 GU Dean 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
154 DAI Ethan 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
154 SEDAKA Dylan 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
157 ZHANG Edison Ji 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
158 LI Felix 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
159 LENDVAI Lorand 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
160 TAYLOR Wyatt 100% 85% 47% 13% 2% - -
161 SHEYNZON David 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% -
162 ALLEN Paxton 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
163 ZHANG Weihang 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 5% -
164 SHEK-WEI Wesley 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
165 ANDRADE Ian 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
166 KO-GALLOWAY Keaton 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
167 ALLEN Parker 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
168 LI Derek 100% 96% 74% 39% 11% 1% -
169 LEE Jeffrey 100% 85% 31% 5% - -
170 YANG LOUIS 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
172 JI Derek 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
173 RISMAN Edward 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
174 OH Caleb 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
175 GAW Christian 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
176 TUMBAPURA Arjun 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% 1% -
177 IVERSON Niels 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
177 DY Azriel 100% 71% 24% 4% - - -
177 BERGAN Chase 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
180 BROWN Nash 100% 50% 10% 1% - - -
181 GUCCIARDI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 17%
182 YANG Aegon 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
182 GHIM Ethan 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1% -
184 SABINO Bennett 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
185 NEPPALLI Dhruv 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
185 TUNA Abdullatif 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
187 YANG Ted 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
188 KRISHNAN Arjun 100% 84% 38% 8% 1% - -
189 MARFATIA Ariv 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
190 ODIOEMENE Naeto 100% 93% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
191 CADET Sebastian 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
192 LLOYD Max 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
193 GUO Joe 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% -
194 LIU Dylan 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
195 GAO Francis 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
196 UCHIYAMA Lucas 100% 33% 3% - - -
197 RAJMOHAN Syon 100% 78% 35% 7% 1% - -
197 LEE Davis 100% 33% 5% - - - -
197 TOURÉ-DEMARCO Toussaint 100% 35% 5% - - - -
197 LOU Ethan 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
201 LEE SungYup 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
202 SIREN Isaac 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.