Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHUNG Evan - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
2 WANG Henrik - - 1% 9% 36% 55%
3 YE Aaron - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
3 CHEN Luca - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
5 FRANTZ Ken - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
6 WANG Russell - 1% 9% 36% 55%
7 GHIM Ethan 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
8 LEKO Vincent - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
9 CHEN Donovan - 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
10 TABANCAY Cole - - 3% 20% 45% 32%
11 BECKER Grayson - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
12 VINCENT Yian 1% 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
13 KO Logan 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
14 WONG Jacob - 2% 9% 23% 33% 25% 8%
15 CHEN Remsen 1% 8% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
16 MANGINI Lorenzo - 1% 11% 33% 39% 15%
17 ILICHEV Timur - - 7% 29% 44% 19%
19 KWON Joon - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
20 KIM Colin - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
21 BABY Jacob - 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1%
22 ZHANG Leon - 1% 8% 30% 41% 19%
23 LEVY Rafa - 1% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
24 BROOKS Grant - 3% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1%
25 MOREHOUSE Jack - 7% 27% 40% 23% 3%
27 TIAN Michael 3% 24% 40% 26% 7% -
28 GUI Kyle 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
29 LI Nathan - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
30 ZHAO Evan 15% 48% 29% 7% 1% -
31 ODIOEMENE Jidenna - 7% 28% 39% 21% 4%
32 GUINN Robert 10% 39% 36% 13% 2% - -
33 MEROLLA Luca - 2% 16% 38% 34% 10%
34 LEE Augustine 1% 8% 34% 38% 17% 3%
35 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
36 HUANG Max 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
37 QIAO Jason 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
39 MULCAHEY Kieran 18% 40% 31% 10% 1%
39 WANG Thomas 3% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
41 GUO Aiden 12% 36% 36% 14% 1%
41 CONSTANTINE Leonidas - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 12%
43 SWORDS Frank 5% 23% 41% 27% 4%
44 ADOLPHUS March - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
45 BELTRAN-PRATS Enzo 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
46 SHARMA KRISH - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
47 GUO Zi-Yang - 3% 22% 43% 27% 5%
48 JIANG Alex 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% -
49 JIANG Elvin 1% 11% 40% 36% 11% 1%
50 LIANG Henry 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1%
51 ZHU Zhengrui 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
52 CHANG Isaac 8% 25% 33% 23% 9% 2% -
53 ZHANG Ethan 11% 35% 38% 15% 1%
54 PETROSYAN David 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
55 LIOU Paxton - 2% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
56 CIECIEREGA Michael - 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
57 CHEN Jayden 1% 9% 24% 32% 24% 9% 1%
58 FERRARO Antonio 36% 47% 14% 2% - -
59 YE Matthew 25% 50% 21% 4% - - -
62 ZHANG Luyang 34% 49% 15% 2% - -
63 CHOI Hudson 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
64 KHAN Zorayz 57% 36% 7% 1% - -
65 LEBOWITZ Charles 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
66 SAUDEK Felix 35% 51% 13% 1% - -
67 PAVULURI Ishan 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
68 FERRARO Marco 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
70 BUCKLEY Charlie 54% 37% 9% 1% - - -
70 SINGH Yohan 38% 47% 13% 1% - -
70 PRENDINGUE Michael < 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
73 GOLDBERG Wyatt 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
74 CASTILLO Theodore 44% 43% 11% 1% - - -
75 GHIM Ian 50% 38% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.