Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHUNG Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
2 WANG Henrik 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
3 YE Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
3 CHEN Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
5 FRANTZ Ken 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
6 WANG Russell 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
7 GHIM Ethan 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
8 LEKO Vincent 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
9 CHEN Donovan 100% 100% 93% 68% 28% 4%
10 TABANCAY Cole 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
11 BECKER Grayson 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
12 VINCENT Yian 100% 99% 95% 79% 50% 19% 3%
13 KO Logan 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
14 WONG Jacob 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 33% 8%
15 CHEN Remsen 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
16 MANGINI Lorenzo 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
17 ILICHEV Timur 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 19%
19 KWON Joon 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
20 KIM Colin 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
21 BABY Jacob 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
22 ZHANG Leon 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
23 LEVY Rafa 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3%
24 BROOKS Grant 100% 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
25 MOREHOUSE Jack 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 3%
27 TIAN Michael 100% 97% 73% 33% 7% -
28 GUI Kyle 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
29 LI Nathan 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
30 ZHAO Evan 100% 85% 38% 8% 1% -
31 ODIOEMENE Jidenna 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 4%
32 GUINN Robert 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% - -
33 MEROLLA Luca 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
34 LEE Augustine 100% 99% 92% 58% 19% 3%
35 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
36 HUANG Max 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
37 QIAO Jason 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
39 MULCAHEY Kieran 100% 82% 42% 10% 1%
39 WANG Thomas 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 7% 1%
41 GUO Aiden 100% 88% 51% 15% 1%
41 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
43 SWORDS Frank 100% 95% 72% 32% 4%
44 ADOLPHUS March 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
45 BELTRAN-PRATS Enzo 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
46 SHARMA KRISH 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
47 GUO Zi-Yang 100% 100% 97% 75% 32% 5%
48 JIANG Alex 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% -
49 JIANG Elvin 100% 99% 88% 49% 13% 1%
50 LIANG Henry 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
51 ZHU Zhengrui 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
52 CHANG Isaac 100% 92% 68% 35% 11% 2% -
53 ZHANG Ethan 100% 89% 55% 17% 1%
54 PETROSYAN David 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
55 LIOU Paxton 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
56 CIECIEREGA Michael 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
57 CHEN Jayden 100% 99% 89% 66% 34% 10% 1%
58 FERRARO Antonio 100% 64% 16% 2% - -
59 YE Matthew 100% 75% 25% 4% - - -
62 ZHANG Luyang 100% 66% 17% 2% - -
63 CHOI Hudson 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
64 KHAN Zorayz 100% 43% 7% 1% - -
65 LEBOWITZ Charles 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
66 SAUDEK Felix 100% 65% 14% 1% - -
67 PAVULURI Ishan 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
68 FERRARO Marco 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% -
70 BUCKLEY Charlie 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
70 SINGH Yohan 100% 62% 15% 2% - -
70 PRENDINGUE Michael 100% 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
73 GOLDBERG Wyatt 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
74 CASTILLO Theodore 100% 56% 12% 1% - - -
75 GHIM Ian 100% 50% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.