Battle in Seattle

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HAMZA Tudor - - 2% 18% 42% 32% 6%
2 SPROWLES Cameron D. - - - 1% 10% 38% 52%
3 RIVIERE Paul J.M. - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
3 WESTPHAL David R. - - - 1% 12% 42% 45%
5 BENACK Steven M. - - - 1% 11% 42% 46%
6 DONG Haiyi - 2% 35% 42% 17% 3% -
7 KILUK Andrew - - 3% 19% 40% 31% 8%
9 TOOR Sukhwinderpal - - - 3% 14% 39% 45%
10 WELDON Benjamin - - - 5% 26% 48% 21%
11 WU Alistair - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
12 DESSAUER Tobyn M. - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 17%
13 SLATER Jay N. - - 1% 11% 33% 40% 15%
14 WEISE Eli S. - - - 4% 25% 48% 23%
15 TRACY James 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
16 KHRISSANOV Peter - 3% 14% 34% 35% 13% 1%
17 ASGARALLY Anthony - 3% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
18 LIBSON Tazman - - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
19 LARSEN Samuel F. - - - - 6% 34% 60%
20 KYPRAIOS Nicholas - 2% 14% 38% 34% 11% 1%
21 TANG Zheng 11% 39% 40% 10% 1% < 1% -
22 LIU Zicheng - 5% 26% 45% 20% 3% -
23 STOCK Jordan 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
24 WANG Aaron 1% 11% 38% 37% 12% 1% -
25 ST CLAIR Soren 6% 42% 43% 9% 1% - -
26 LU Jacob - 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
27 WEGENER Soren - 3% 18% 46% 28% 6% -
28 CAI Brian - - - 4% 20% 45% 31%
29 BREILING Niklas - - 3% 17% 39% 36% 5%
30 CHUNG Yeongbin - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 6%
31 FULLER George K. - 1% 8% 35% 39% 16% 2%
32 GOWDA Suyog - 7% 30% 41% 19% 3% -
33 PALACIOS Francisco - 6% 28% 40% 21% 4% -
33 ZHANG Austin - 8% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
35 SHI Jian-An 6% 28% 43% 20% 4% - -
36 LINDBLOM Ian P. - - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
37 GILLER Irving 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
38 LAKE Adam - - 1% 10% 37% 43% 10%
39 DAN Rex 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
40 LEWIS Michael 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
41 MATHES Caleb - 1% 7% 26% 37% 24% 5%
42 HEINS Dylan - 1% 8% 31% 42% 17% 2%
43 KROGH Daniel (Dan) M. - - 4% 21% 41% 28% 5%
44 SUVOROV Yuly - - - 5% 24% 46% 24%
44 KRYLTSOV Greg 1% 8% 27% 37% 23% 5%
44 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% - -
47 HABIB Farooq - - - 5% 22% 42% 31%
48 DEMPSEY Connor - - 3% 19% 45% 28% 5%
49 POULIQUEN Nicolas J. - - 2% 16% 40% 33% 8%
50 SCOTT Gavin 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% - -
51 DONDISCH Ilan - 1% 18% 41% 30% 9% 1%
52 CLAYTON Byron - 3% 16% 35% 33% 11% 1%
53 BACON Corban 2% 28% 46% 21% 3% - -
54 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. - - 4% 20% 41% 30% 5%
55 LEHNER Brian - 1% 11% 32% 38% 16% 2%
55 WANG Juehan 9% 45% 34% 10% 1% - -
57 BRACCO Cameron 24% 51% 21% 4% - - -
58 TOYOFUKU Lucas 36% 45% 17% 2% - - -
59 HARRISKING Benjamin 4% 36% 45% 14% 2% - -
60 VARNEY John R. - < 1% 2% 19% 47% 28% 4%
60 CHEN Christopher 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
62 MYRAH Devin 20% 46% 29% 5% - - -
63 REILLY August 8% 47% 35% 9% 1% - -
64 RAMIREZ Tristan 75% 23% 2% - - - -
65 CHI Kai-Hung 31% 46% 20% 3% - - -
66 BREILING Sebastian 3% 36% 44% 15% 2% - -
67 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 2% 20% 38% 29% 10% 1%
68 JONES Colby 33% 60% 6% - - - -
69 BRUBAKER Silas 68% 28% 4% - - - -
70 YE Aiden 83% 16% 1% - - - -
71 KREIDL Attila N. 13% 38% 33% 13% 3% - -
72 XIONG Zhanbo 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
73 GANDOUR-ROOD Elliott (Eli) J. 19% 45% 29% 6% 1% - -
73 CLIFTON Kenneth 64% 30% 5% - - -
75 CHAN Joseph 73% 25% 2% - - - -
76 PETERSEN Aaron 61% 38% 1% - - - -
77 CHAN Thomas 49% 42% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.