Battle in Seattle

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HAMZA Tudor 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 39% 6%
2 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 RIVIERE Paul J.M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
3 WESTPHAL David R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 45%
5 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
6 DONG Haiyi 100% 100% 98% 62% 20% 3% -
7 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 8%
9 TOOR Sukhwinderpal 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45%
10 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 21%
11 WU Alistair 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
12 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
13 SLATER Jay N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
14 WEISE Eli S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 23%
15 TRACY James 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% -
16 KHRISSANOV Peter 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14% 1%
17 ASGARALLY Anthony 100% 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1%
18 LIBSON Tazman 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
19 LARSEN Samuel F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
20 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 12% 1%
21 TANG Zheng 100% 89% 51% 11% 1% < 1% -
22 LIU Zicheng 100% 100% 95% 69% 24% 3% -
23 STOCK Jordan 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 3%
24 WANG Aaron 100% 99% 88% 51% 14% 2% -
25 ST CLAIR Soren 100% 94% 52% 10% 1% - -
26 LU Jacob 100% 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
27 WEGENER Soren 100% 100% 97% 80% 34% 6% -
28 CAI Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
29 BREILING Niklas 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 5%
30 CHUNG Yeongbin 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6%
31 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 56% 18% 2%
32 GOWDA Suyog 100% 100% 93% 63% 22% 3% -
33 PALACIOS Francisco 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 4% -
33 ZHANG Austin 100% 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
35 SHI Jian-An 100% 94% 66% 24% 4% - -
36 LINDBLOM Ian P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
37 GILLER Irving 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
38 LAKE Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53% 10%
39 DAN Rex 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
40 LEWIS Michael 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
41 MATHES Caleb 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
42 HEINS Dylan 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18% 2%
43 KROGH Daniel (Dan) M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 5%
44 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
44 KRYLTSOV Greg 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
44 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
47 HABIB Farooq 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31%
48 DEMPSEY Connor 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33% 5%
49 POULIQUEN Nicolas J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 8%
50 SCOTT Gavin 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
51 DONDISCH Ilan 100% 100% 99% 81% 40% 10% 1%
52 CLAYTON Byron 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12% 1%
53 BACON Corban 100% 98% 71% 24% 3% - -
54 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 5%
55 LEHNER Brian 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
55 WANG Juehan 100% 91% 45% 11% 1% - -
57 BRACCO Cameron 100% 76% 25% 4% - - -
58 TOYOFUKU Lucas 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
59 HARRISKING Benjamin 100% 96% 61% 15% 2% - -
60 VARNEY John R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 32% 4%
60 CHEN Christopher 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
62 MYRAH Devin 100% 80% 34% 6% - - -
63 REILLY August 100% 92% 45% 10% 1% - -
64 RAMIREZ Tristan 100% 25% 2% - - - -
65 CHI Kai-Hung 100% 69% 23% 3% - - -
66 BREILING Sebastian 100% 97% 61% 17% 2% - -
67 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 1%
68 JONES Colby 100% 67% 6% - - - -
69 BRUBAKER Silas 100% 32% 4% - - - -
70 YE Aiden 100% 17% 1% - - - -
71 KREIDL Attila N. 100% 87% 48% 16% 3% - -
72 XIONG Zhanbo 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
73 GANDOUR-ROOD Elliott (Eli) J. 100% 81% 36% 7% 1% - -
73 CLIFTON Kenneth 100% 36% 6% - - -
75 CHAN Joseph 100% 27% 3% - - - -
76 PETERSEN Aaron 100% 39% 1% - - - -
77 CHAN Thomas 100% 51% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.