5th Annual Denison Winter Open

Men's Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Mitchell Recreation Center Denison University - Granville, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Jesse - - - 3% 21% 47% 29%
2 NORTH Gary S. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
3 CAMP Ethan - 1% 10% 30% 39% 18% 2%
3 LASIYCHUK Nikita - 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
5 BOURGES-SEVENIER Brendan - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
6 JONES Reilly - - 3% 18% 43% 30% 6%
7 MASON Alexander T. - - - 3% 22% 47% 27%
8 WANG Kaiyan 2% 19% 41% 30% 7% 1% -
9 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
10 LINDOW Connor - 1% 6% 24% 41% 26% 3%
11 CHAN Matthew - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
12 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan - - 2% 12% 36% 39% 11%
13 ELLIS Floyd 2% 32% 43% 19% 4% - -
14 EVERT Todd - 1% 7% 25% 41% 24% 3%
15 KIM Sebastian 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
16 WILKINSON Derek H. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
17 LIU Quincy 1% 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
18 ECKEL Anson J. - 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
19 CHU Duong 4% 31% 40% 20% 5% 1% -
20 BOYKO Miles - 4% 22% 43% 26% 5% -
21 IGNATIK Piotr 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1% -
22 EPPLER Dominik 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
23 HUNKER Frederick 1% 11% 36% 38% 12% 1% -
24 FORTUNA Chase 9% 43% 36% 10% 1% - -
25 LEE JunSeok 6% 37% 39% 16% 3% - -
26 GIBSON Rylan 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
27 VERWORN Jonathan 76% 22% 2% - - - -
28 ADAMS Christopher 85% 14% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.