5th Annual Denison Winter Open

Men's Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Mitchell Recreation Center Denison University - Granville, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Jesse 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 29%
2 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 CAMP Ethan 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 2%
3 LASIYCHUK Nikita 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
5 BOURGES-SEVENIER Brendan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
6 JONES Reilly 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 6%
7 MASON Alexander T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
8 WANG Kaiyan 100% 98% 79% 38% 8% 1% -
9 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
10 LINDOW Connor 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 3%
11 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
12 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 11%
13 ELLIS Floyd 100% 98% 66% 23% 4% - -
14 EVERT Todd 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26% 3%
15 KIM Sebastian 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4% -
16 WILKINSON Derek H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
17 LIU Quincy 100% 99% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
18 ECKEL Anson J. 100% 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
19 CHU Duong 100% 96% 65% 25% 5% 1% -
20 BOYKO Miles 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 6% -
21 IGNATIK Piotr 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1% -
22 EPPLER Dominik 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
23 HUNKER Frederick 100% 99% 88% 52% 14% 1% -
24 FORTUNA Chase 100% 91% 48% 12% 1% - -
25 LEE JunSeok 100% 94% 57% 18% 3% - -
26 GIBSON Rylan 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
27 VERWORN Jonathan 100% 24% 2% - - - -
28 ADAMS Christopher 100% 15% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.