Ataba Fencing Club January Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Ataba Fencing Club - Hartland, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 42%
2 CURTY Jack 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
3 BIXBY Solomon J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 29%
3 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
5 MCDOWELL Will 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
6 BROCK Joshua 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4%
7 SNYDER Alex 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
8 ZEPEDA Andres 100% 99% 83% 46% 14% 2%
9 KANE Alexa 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
10 BOZARTH Alex 100% 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% -
11 BORYS Yevhenii 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
12 GLASS Timothy C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
13 STEINEKE Warren 100% 78% 32% 6% - -
14 LOHR-KOUGL Eadrick 100% 99% 86% 42% 8% - -
15 SWANSON Dave 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
16 SHOWALTER Cameron J. 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% - -
17 SCHERG Caleb 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 7% -
18 MACGREGOR Grant 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1%
19 ESWARAPU Anmol 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
20 RITTERBUSCH Abigail 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
21 BERTRAND Reece 100% 98% 61% 20% 3% - -
22 BURKHARDT Krista L. 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% -
22 HART Jenna 100% 56% 12% 1% - -
24 ALLER Bruce 100% 10% - - - - -
25 SCHERG ISAAC 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
26 JARDIN Sandra 100% 96% 66% 23% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.