15th Annual Olympian Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Olympian Fencing Club - San Antonio, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
2 FEINGERSCH Ariav (Ari) B. - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
3 BRETON Jayden - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
3 YANG Zeph 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
5 AHAUS Charlotte - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 8%
6 LIM Robert 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
7 SAYLOR Harrison G. - 3% 21% 42% 29% 5%
8 WEBB Jacob T. 1% 14% 40% 33% 10% 1%
9 HURME Tommi K. - - 3% 16% 35% 35% 11%
10 SANCHEZ Emanuel - - - 2% 20% 55% 23%
11 THAYER Jake T. - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
12 HALLMAN Nicholas (Nick) J. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
13 SOOS Whitman 17% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
14 OBREBSKI Kevin 11% 48% 33% 8% 1% -
15 WRIGHT Ryan K. 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
16 HANSEN Lars - 2% 14% 39% 37% 9%
17 BOURDEAU Emily B. - 1% 13% 43% 34% 8% -
18 VASYAKIN Liana - 7% 31% 40% 19% 3% -
19 MANGAN Hunter - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9% 1%
20 TIEMANN Landen 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
21 FLYNN Anthony L. 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
22 LI YUEYI 17% 51% 26% 5% - - -
23 KASKAN Peter E. 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
24 BEAVERS cole 36% 43% 18% 3% - - -
25 ULRICH Jacob 65% 30% 4% - - -
26 HEPPNER Duncan 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.