15th Annual Olympian Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Olympian Fencing Club - San Antonio, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
2 FEINGERSCH Ariav (Ari) B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
3 BRETON Jayden 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
3 YANG Zeph 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 4%
5 AHAUS Charlotte 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 33% 8%
6 LIM Robert 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
7 SAYLOR Harrison G. 100% 100% 97% 76% 34% 5%
8 WEBB Jacob T. 100% 99% 85% 44% 11% 1%
9 HURME Tommi K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
10 SANCHEZ Emanuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 23%
11 THAYER Jake T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
12 HALLMAN Nicholas (Nick) J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
13 SOOS Whitman 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
14 OBREBSKI Kevin 100% 89% 41% 8% 1% -
15 WRIGHT Ryan K. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
16 HANSEN Lars 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 9%
17 BOURDEAU Emily B. 100% 100% 99% 86% 42% 9% -
18 VASYAKIN Liana 100% 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
19 MANGAN Hunter 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10% 1%
20 TIEMANN Landen 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
21 FLYNN Anthony L. 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 6% 1%
22 LI YUEYI 100% 83% 32% 6% - - -
23 KASKAN Peter E. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
24 BEAVERS cole 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
25 ULRICH Jacob 100% 35% 4% - - -
26 HEPPNER Duncan 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.