Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAO Abby - - - - 5% 34% 61%
2 KIM Sydney - - - - - 6% 94%
3 ZEE Savannah - - 1% 10% 42% 47%
3 HSU Rachel - - 1% 7% 30% 48% 14%
5 YANG Hanli - - - 3% 17% 41% 37%
6 ARYA Leela - - 1% 9% 34% 47% 9%
7 WANG Doreen - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
8 LIM Kensie - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
9 MIYASHIRO Katelyn - - - - 2% 25% 72%
10 FANG Kelervia - - 2% 16% 45% 38%
11 PARK Lauren - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
12 RUI Jessie - - - 6% 33% 61%
13 LEE Abigail - 4% 22% 40% 28% 6%
14 AHN Hayley - 5% 26% 43% 23% 4%
15 CHANG Olivia - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
16 KIM Natalie - - 6% 29% 45% 19%
17 JIN Jada Y - - 1% 9% 32% 43% 14%
18 CHUNG Katie - 1% 11% 33% 40% 15%
19 THERON Zoe - - - - 3% 25% 72%
20 SAIFEE Zahra - 4% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1%
21 SAIFEE Sakina - - 4% 21% 43% 29% 3%
21 ZHANG Queeny - - 1% 11% 39% 39% 9%
23 TEWARI Amaira - 1% 12% 41% 39% 7%
24 ZHANG Viviana - 1% 10% 32% 41% 16%
25 DENG Claire - - 5% 23% 40% 27% 5%
26 KIM Ines - 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
27 IRELAND Moira - 5% 27% 42% 22% 4% -
28 KHANAL Sarah - 4% 20% 40% 29% 7% -
29 WANG Ellen 3% 22% 49% 23% 3% -
30 YU Sophie - 1% 6% 26% 44% 23%
31 NICOLETTI Thea - 5% 20% 37% 30% 7% -
32 CROWDER jordan Ali - 2% 12% 32% 37% 15% 2%
33 CHEN Madeleine 2% 17% 39% 31% 10% 1%
34 KENSICKI Phoebe - - - 2% 12% 41% 45%
35 YUNG Zoe - 3% 22% 47% 24% 3%
36 YANG Byanca 22% 45% 26% 6% 1% -
37 DVOIRIS Maya - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24% 1%
38 FU Joy - 2% 14% 39% 34% 10% 1%
39 GOWDA Siyona - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20% -
40 LUCAS Ava - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
41 BASTUNAS Marissa 2% 17% 49% 28% 5% - -
42 SANTIAGO Rania 6% 26% 37% 24% 6% 1% -
43 LI Sophia - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
44 NEUMANN Erika - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
45 MIYOSHI Kylie - - 4% 25% 50% 20%
46 KIM Lauren - 7% 27% 40% 22% 4%
47 FAN Lauren 5% 32% 45% 17% 2% -
48 ZHANG Hannah - 1% 14% 43% 36% 6%
49 TU Averie - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
50 BANDZELADZE Emma - 1% 11% 35% 39% 13% 1%
51 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
52 TAI Taphanie - 4% 24% 47% 22% 3% -
53 ARCE BASURCO Juliana 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
54 LAVERY Lucy - - 5% 24% 43% 25% 2%
55 LI Annabelle 1% 15% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
56 CHENG Audrey - - 1% 12% 41% 37% 8%
57 PAWAR Sanvi 1% 9% 36% 38% 14% 2% -
58 YU Xintong 3% 21% 41% 28% 7% 1%
59 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 1% 13% 42% 34% 9% 1%
60 YUEN Kaitlyn 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
61 ZHANG Katie Q. 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3% -
62 LING Camryn 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
63 BHANGOO Paloma 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
64 ZHAN Catherine 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
65 KIM Chloe 24% 44% 26% 5% - - -
66 CERILO Bella 42% 45% 12% 1% - -
67 DEJOY Leilah 7% 36% 39% 16% 3% -
68 GROSSMAN Elizabeth 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
69 PARK Aileen 19% 43% 30% 7% 1% - -
70 ZHU Claire 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% -
70 CHO Rylee 35% 45% 17% 3% - -
72 VALOUEVA Katerina 8% 41% 39% 10% 1% -
73 LI Sophia 26% 49% 22% 3% - -
74 YUEN Hannah 58% 36% 6% - - - -
75 ALEKSANDROVA Mira 12% 39% 37% 10% 1% - -
76 SHIN Ellie 55% 38% 7% - - - -
77 TIAN Claire 6% 40% 38% 13% 2% - -
78 CHOI Mackenzie 60% 33% 6% 1% - - -
78 KIM Isabella 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
80 YANG Claire 73% 25% 3% - - - -
81 FENG Sophia 59% 34% 7% 1% - -
82 LIU Celia 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
83 SOUSA Lauren 64% 31% 5% - - -
84 RENGANATHAN Krithiga 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
85 HUANG Veronica 8% 38% 36% 15% 3% - -
86 YOU Mina 27% 44% 24% 5% - - -
87 DAM Sofi 27% 49% 20% 3% - -
88 OH Amber 16% 52% 26% 5% - - -
89 GAMACHE Camdyn Harper 42% 46% 11% 1% - -
90 NAVARRO LeighAnn 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
91 ISBELL Nora 20% 54% 23% 3% - - -
92 DOMANTAY Sophia 19% 43% 30% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.