Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAO Abby 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
2 KIM Sydney 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94%
3 ZEE Savannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
3 HSU Rachel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 14%
5 YANG Hanli 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
6 ARYA Leela 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 9%
7 WANG Doreen 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
8 LIM Kensie 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
9 MIYASHIRO Katelyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 72%
10 FANG Kelervia 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
11 PARK Lauren 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
12 RUI Jessie 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
13 LEE Abigail 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
14 AHN Hayley 100% 100% 95% 69% 26% 4%
15 CHANG Olivia 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
16 KIM Natalie 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 19%
17 JIN Jada Y 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 14%
18 CHUNG Katie 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
19 THERON Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
20 SAIFEE Zahra 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 9% 1%
21 SAIFEE Sakina 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 3%
21 ZHANG Queeny 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48% 9%
23 TEWARI Amaira 100% 100% 99% 87% 45% 7%
24 ZHANG Viviana 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
25 DENG Claire 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 31% 5%
26 KIM Ines 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
27 IRELAND Moira 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 4% -
28 KHANAL Sarah 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7% -
29 WANG Ellen 100% 97% 75% 26% 3% -
30 YU Sophie 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
31 NICOLETTI Thea 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8% -
32 CROWDER jordan Ali 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
33 CHEN Madeleine 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1%
34 KENSICKI Phoebe 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
35 YUNG Zoe 100% 100% 97% 75% 28% 3%
36 YANG Byanca 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
37 DVOIRIS Maya 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24% 1%
38 FU Joy 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1%
39 GOWDA Siyona 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20% -
40 LUCAS Ava 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
41 BASTUNAS Marissa 100% 98% 82% 33% 5% - -
42 SANTIAGO Rania 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
43 LI Sophia 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
44 NEUMANN Erika 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
45 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 20%
46 KIM Lauren 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4%
47 FAN Lauren 100% 95% 64% 19% 2% -
48 ZHANG Hannah 100% 100% 98% 85% 42% 6%
49 TU Averie 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
50 BANDZELADZE Emma 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 13% 1%
51 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
52 TAI Taphanie 100% 100% 96% 72% 25% 4% -
53 ARCE BASURCO Juliana 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
54 LAVERY Lucy 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27% 2%
55 LI Annabelle 100% 99% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
56 CHENG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 45% 8%
57 PAWAR Sanvi 100% 99% 90% 54% 16% 2% -
58 YU Xintong 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1%
59 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 100% 99% 86% 44% 10% 1%
60 YUEN Kaitlyn 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
61 ZHANG Katie Q. 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3% -
62 LING Camryn 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
63 BHANGOO Paloma 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
64 ZHAN Catherine 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
65 KIM Chloe 100% 76% 32% 6% - - -
66 CERILO Bella 100% 58% 13% 1% - -
67 DEJOY Leilah 100% 93% 57% 19% 3% -
68 GROSSMAN Elizabeth 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
69 PARK Aileen 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% - -
70 ZHU Claire 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% -
70 CHO Rylee 100% 65% 20% 3% - -
72 VALOUEVA Katerina 100% 92% 51% 11% 1% -
73 LI Sophia 100% 74% 26% 3% - -
74 YUEN Hannah 100% 42% 6% - - - -
75 ALEKSANDROVA Mira 100% 88% 49% 12% 1% - -
76 SHIN Ellie 100% 45% 7% - - - -
77 TIAN Claire 100% 94% 54% 15% 2% - -
78 CHOI Mackenzie 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
78 KIM Isabella 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
80 YANG Claire 100% 27% 3% - - - -
81 FENG Sophia 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
82 LIU Celia 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
83 SOUSA Lauren 100% 36% 5% - - -
84 RENGANATHAN Krithiga 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% - -
85 HUANG Veronica 100% 92% 54% 18% 3% - -
86 YOU Mina 100% 73% 29% 5% - - -
87 DAM Sofi 100% 73% 24% 3% - -
88 OH Amber 100% 84% 32% 5% - - -
89 GAMACHE Camdyn Harper 100% 58% 12% 1% - -
90 NAVARRO LeighAnn 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
91 ISBELL Nora 100% 80% 27% 4% - - -
92 DOMANTAY Sophia 100% 81% 39% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.