Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 PARK Chloe V V D D D V V V V V V V 4.8 3 -1.8
2 LIN Elaine V V V D V V V V V D 4.5 4 -0.5
3 ZHAI AMY V V D V V D V V V V D 4.5 4 -0.5
3 YU Stella D V D V V V V V V V D 4.7 4 -0.7
5 YU Skylar V V V D V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
6 SUZUKI HAN Emma Yukino V D V V V V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
7 MUNGUIA Mila V V V V D V V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
8 HU Ashley V D V D D V V V D 2.3 2 -0.3
9 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" V V V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
10 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla V D V V V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
11 NING Lynn V V V V V D V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
12 MAO Elsa V D V V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
13 CHERUKURI Tanvi V D V V V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
14 HWANG Charlotte D V V D V V V D 3.6 3 -0.6
15 CHENG Anna V V V V D D V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
16 MAO anna D V V V D V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
17 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol V V V V V D 2.9 5 +2.1
18 MISHEV Lila V V D V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
19 LIN Ariel V V D V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
20 LIN Annika V V V V D V D 4.0 4 -
21 CHANG Kaitlyn D V D V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
22 VIGNEUX Nolwenn D V V V V D V D 2.5 4 +1.5
23 LONG Chloe D V D V V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
24 LAUREYNS Ainsley V D V D V V V D 4.0 4 -
25 SUNG Isabella V V V D V D V D 4.1 4 -0.1
26 LIU Hannah V V D D V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
27 MERRITT Annabelle V D D V D V D 2.5 2 -0.5
28 SUN Angela D D D V V V D 3.0 2 -1.0
29 STAPLEY Claire D D D V D V D 1.9 1 -0.9
30 LIM Eunice D D V D D V V D 2.0 2 -
31 NGUYEN Summer D V V D D D V D 3.6 2 -1.6
32 OLESKY Ellie D D D V D V V D 2.5 2 -0.5
33 SHI Maxine V D V V V D D 3.2 4 +0.8
34 BI Mia V D V D V V D 1.5 4 +2.5
35 ZHANG angelina V D V D V D 2.8 3 +0.2
36 SEO Yunseo D V V D V D 2.0 3 +1.0
37 FANG Lauren V V D D V D 0.8 3 +2.2
38 JUNG Sienna D D V D V D 1.9 2 +0.1
39 SONG Phoebe V D V D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
40 PANCHAL Arya D D D V V D 1.6 2 +0.4
41 CHEN Colette V V D D D D D 3.6 2 -1.6
42 BAEK Aileen D V D V D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
43 KIM Hyunbi D D D V D V D 2.9 2 -0.9
44 MORINAGA Mirai V D D D D V D 2.8 2 -0.8
46 DENG Oscar D D D V V D D 1.6 2 +0.4
47 SAYONE Liliana D D V D V D D 0.9 2 +1.1
48 HENRY Erin D D V D D D 2.2 1 -1.2
49 DAVIS Layla D D D V D D 1.0 1 -
50 CAI Veronica D V D D D D 3.5 1 -2.5
51 DING Jolie D D V D D D 2.9 1 -1.9
52 YUMIACO Samantha D V D D D D 1.1 1 -0.1
53 CAI Joanna V D D D D D D 2.6 1 -1.6
54 SUTHERLAND Sadie D V D D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
55 VILLAMATER Mia Franchesca D D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
56 SCHOTT Marine D D D D D V D 0.2 1 +0.8
57 WELCH Greta D D V D D D D 0.6 1 +0.4
58 LABAZNIKOVA Alla D D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4
59 JOHNSTON Sabrina D D D D D D 0.6 0 -0.6

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.