Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Chloe - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
2 LIN Elaine - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
3 ZHAI AMY - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 16%
3 YU Stella - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
5 YU Skylar - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
6 SUZUKI HAN Emma Yukino - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
7 MUNGUIA Mila - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
8 HU Ashley 3% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1%
9 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
10 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
11 NING Lynn - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
12 MAO Elsa - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
13 CHERUKURI Tanvi - 2% 16% 37% 34% 11%
14 HWANG Charlotte - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
15 CHENG Anna - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
16 MAO anna - 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
17 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol - 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
18 MISHEV Lila - 1% 9% 34% 43% 13%
19 LIN Ariel - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
20 LIN Annika - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
21 CHANG Kaitlyn - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
22 VIGNEUX Nolwenn 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
23 LONG Chloe - 7% 26% 40% 23% 3%
24 LAUREYNS Ainsley - 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
25 SUNG Isabella - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
26 LIU Hannah - 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
27 MERRITT Annabelle 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
28 SUN Angela - 4% 23% 43% 25% 4%
29 STAPLEY Claire 6% 31% 39% 20% 4% -
30 LIM Eunice 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
31 NGUYEN Summer - 3% 13% 31% 33% 16% 3%
32 OLESKY Ellie 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
33 SHI Maxine - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
34 BI Mia 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
35 ZHANG angelina 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
36 SEO Yunseo 3% 27% 44% 22% 4% -
37 FANG Lauren 38% 45% 15% 2% - -
38 JUNG Sienna 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
39 SONG Phoebe 7% 37% 40% 14% 2% -
40 PANCHAL Arya 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
41 CHEN Colette - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
42 BAEK Aileen 9% 37% 36% 15% 3% - -
43 KIM Hyunbi - 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
44 MORINAGA Mirai 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
46 DENG Oscar 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% - -
47 SAYONE Liliana 35% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
48 HENRY Erin 4% 21% 38% 27% 8% 1%
49 DAVIS Layla 27% 49% 21% 4% - -
50 CAI Veronica - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
51 DING Jolie - 6% 28% 39% 22% 4%
52 YUMIACO Samantha 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% -
53 CAI Joanna 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
54 SUTHERLAND Sadie 3% 35% 40% 18% 4% - -
55 VILLAMATER Mia Franchesca 33% 42% 20% 4% - -
56 SCHOTT Marine 83% 16% 1% - - - -
57 WELCH Greta 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
58 LABAZNIKOVA Alla 62% 32% 5% - - -
59 JOHNSTON Sabrina 51% 38% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.