Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Qianchen E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
2 JIANG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
3 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
3 WATSON Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
5 CAO Amelie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
6 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
7 LI Joy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
8 GE Deanna 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
9 SIROTA Francis 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 41%
10 LUO lucy 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
10 ZHU Ella 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
12 LI Savannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 24%
13 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
14 XING Melly 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
15 GONG Hai 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 34%
16 MILLER Anna 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
17 IWERSEN Marte 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
18 ZHAO LIN EN OLIVIA 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
19 JOO Sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
21 GENG Emma 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23% 1%
22 WEN Cynthia 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
23 MA Sophia 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1%
24 CHUNG Stella 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
25 PECK Madeleine 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
26 NWODO Naila 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
27 HOLLIS Priscillia 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 7% -
28 ZHU Audrey 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 27% 4%
29 DONG Iris 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 8%
30 ZHILKOV Anya 100% 100% 99% 85% 49% 12%
31 RIVERA Leahy 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
32 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 5% -
33 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
34 DONG Katelyn 100% 98% 78% 37% 8% 1%
35 SHIN Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
36 ZHU Alivia 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 4%
37 TELEB Farida 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
38 KASHUBA Mila 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18% 1%
39 ZHANG Priscilla 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
40 JIANG Ziqing 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31% 3%
41 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 13%
42 SMOLICH Emily 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 4%
43 SHAOOLIAN Maya 100% 100% 99% 85% 49% 13%
44 ELLISON Ingrid 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -
45 KIM Yuna 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 5%
46 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
47 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 10%
48 DING Jennifer 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
49 MACKINTOSH Quinn 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
50 DUVVA Sanika 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 6%
51 LEO Jenna 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1%
52 KUANG Bella 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 1%
53 BALIN Julia 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
54 YOUM Amelia 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% -
55 XU Charlene 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
56 HUANG Emma 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
57 PARK Hannah 100% 100% 92% 64% 23% 3%
58 WU Gloria 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 7% -
59 FENG Claire 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
60 KOESTERS Florentine 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12% 1%
60 JOSEPH Hannah 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 8%
62 REILLY Carys 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
63 BRADSHAW Tamira 100% 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% -
64 JAZWINSKI Ivy 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
65 BO Iris 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
66 BYK Karalina 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
67 SINGH Evangelina 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
68 MALIK Manha 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42% 6%
69 MURPHY Genevieve 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
70 CHO Olivia 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 9%
71 BELL Blake 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
72 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
73 WANG Joann 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29% 3%
74 GOITIA Genevieve 100% 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
75 SHUI Zola 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
76 DINAR Julia 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
77 BENNETT Emi 100% 100% 93% 63% 21% 3% -
78 ZHANG Selina 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 4%
79 HO Peyton 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
80 CHEN bridgette 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
81 WANG Allyson 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
82 CHAN Kaitlyn 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 6% 1%
83 ZOLDAN Nolabelle 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
84 CHOI Cara 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 13% 1%
85 JU Victoria 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
86 LIU Doris-Zihan Zhou 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
87 KIRBY Emelie 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
88 LI Doreen 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
89 PAEK Mila 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 3% -
89 KRISHNAN Maya 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
91 FEDER Acadia 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
92 LIU Sophia 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% 1% -
92 DONG Audrey 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6% -
94 ZHANG Selene T. 100% 94% 67% 25% 4% - -
95 DOUGLAS Addison 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
96 HUANG Rosalyn 100% 97% 77% 36% 8% 1%
97 XU-FERGUSON Victoria 100% 99% 90% 57% 16% 1%
98 SUN Erin 100% 95% 65% 24% 4% -
99 KIM Lael 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
100 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
101 KLIVANS Gwyneth 100% 92% 52% 15% 2% - -
102 SARAVANA Supriti 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
103 LIU Bella 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
104 HOU Xu 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
105 WU Charlotte 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
106 TANG Clementine 100% 85% 39% 9% 1% - -
107 PHAN Logan 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 20% 2%
108 FAROOQI Eliora 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
108 MCCLAIN Madison 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
110 SOMAN Indraa 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% - -
111 SILVA Lia 100% 99% 89% 51% 14% 1% -
112 FAN Melody 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% -
113 CHEN Aimee 100% 97% 76% 32% 6% 1% -
114 GONZALEZ Lauren 100% 86% 26% 3% - -
115 HEMPHILL Mia 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
116 SHARAIEVSKA Mariia 100% 96% 57% 19% 3% - -
118 FENG Christy 100% 96% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
119 IRIZARRY Nyla 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1% -
120 CHAN Hailey 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
121 GONG Maggie 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
121 LIU Doris 100% 55% 14% 1% - -
123 DAVIS Gabriella 100% 37% 5% - - - -
124 ZELDIN Nina 100% 85% 41% 9% 1% -
125 FERRON Sofia 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
126 SHAOOLIAN Alexa 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
127 FANG Sophie 100% 99% 82% 39% 8% - -
128 PAEK Ellie 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
129 LI Beatrice 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% - -
130 TEOH Kaylee 100% 53% 11% 1% - - -
131 JIN Emily 100% 88% 42% 9% 1% - -
132 KAGAN Natalie 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
133 ZHU Alicia 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% - -
134 SAKATA Jamie 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
135 CHEN Emma 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
136 MA Laurie 100% 78% 33% 6% - - -
137 BROWN Katelyn 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
138 HUANG Annabelle 100% 26% 2% - - -
139 LEE Annabel 100% 72% 27% 4% - - -
139 GOEL Saanvi 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
141 CHEN Rachel 100% 18% 1% - - - -
142 FURLONG Anna 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
142 MA Cloris 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
142 BENTLEY Amelia 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
145 YAO Emma 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
145 LEE Soli 100% 84% 29% 4% - - -
147 ZHOU Jennifer 100% 39% 6% - - -
148 JIANG Arwen 100% 44% 10% 1% - - -
149 CHIN Harper 100% 44% 8% - - - -
149 KRYSKO Zlata 100% 76% 25% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.