Event Results

Div I-A Women's Saber

Battle in SeattleSurprise Map

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM Rain City Fencing Center · Bellevue, WA, USA

32 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	KALKINA Yelena	V D V V V	V V V V V	5.0	4	-1.0
2	WANG Tina	V D V D V	V V V V D	2.6	3	+0.4
3	GOLDIN Nina	V V V V V V	V V V D	5.0	6	+1.0
3	TANG Wing Ka Ariana	V V V V D	V V V D	4.3	4	-0.3
5	KNULL Emma	V V V V V V	V V D	3.2	6	+2.8
6	FERRIS Madeline	V V V V V D	V V D	4.1	5	+0.9
7	YANG Caroline	V V V V D	V V D	2.6	4	+1.4
8	WONG Natalie	V D V V V	V V D	2.8	4	+1.2
9	HUANG Wanyi	D V V V V	V D	2.8	4	+1.2
10	TENG Christine Renmei	V V V D V	V D	3.9	4	+0.1
11	WILLEMSE Jamie	V D D V V V	V D	5.4	4	-1.4
12	FEENER Paige	V V V V D D	V D	2.2	4	+1.8
13	DOLEV Rony	V D V D V	V D	2.5	3	+0.5
13	KAZA Ananya	D V D V V	V D	1.5	3	+1.5
15	RAMAN Indira	D V V V D D	V D	3.3	3	-0.3
16	LEMMEN Jasmijn	D D V D V	V D	2.2	2	-0.2
17	BARCZAY Sara E.	V V D V D	D	2.3	3	+0.7
18	ERPELDING Emily	V D D V V	D	1.4	3	+1.6
19	MATSUO Kei	V D D V D V	D	4.5	3	-1.5
20	CARLUCCI Laura A.	D V D D V V	D	4.0	3	-1.0
21	JI Xinya	D V D D V D	D	3.0	2	-1.0
22	OOI Ming Qin	D D D D V V	D	1.4	2	+0.6
23	MEFFORD Isadora	D D V V D D	D	1.0	2	+1.0
24	DEVASIA Nisha	V D D D D	D	1.9	1	-0.9
25	HE Manni	V D D D D	D	1.8	1	-0.8
26	KOENIG Audrey	D V D D D	D	3.2	1	-2.2
27	ZUG Kiersten A.	D D V D D	D	3.1	1	-2.1
28	SUNIDJA Indira	D D D D V D	D	1.4	1	-0.4
29	LOWREY Zola	V D D D D D	D	0.3	1	+0.7
30	WONG Alice	D D D D D	D	0.6	0	-0.6
31	WHELAN Quinn	D D D D D	D	0.6	0	-0.6
32	DEGEN Anita L.	D D D D D D	D	3.1	0	-3.1

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

Outcome Surprises