Battle in Seattle

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RAUTUREAU Hugo - - - 5% 23% 43% 29%
2 MITBERG Gregory W. - - - - 1% 18% 81%
3 ROZALSKI Eli - - - 1% 10% 41% 47%
3 DZHUS Yurii - - - 2% 17% 45% 36%
5 CHONG Tristan - - 2% 12% 34% 41% 12%
6 CHEUNG Hank - - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
7 BEDWORTH Alistair - 4% 25% 49% 19% 3% -
8 WU Alistair - - 1% 8% 38% 41% 12%
9 SPROWLES Cameron D. - - - 4% 32% 49% 15%
10 GUERRA Gabriel H. - - - - 6% 35% 58%
11 ASHIDA Tomoaki - - - 5% 26% 49% 20%
12 LEE Benjamin H. - - - - - 6% 94%
13 SHAGIDANYAN German - - 1% 10% 35% 43% 11%
14 KIM Harrison - - - 6% 37% 51% 6%
15 GAO Andrew 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 3% -
16 SISINNI Leonardo - 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2%
17 RAUTUREAU Arthur - - 5% 24% 41% 25% 5%
18 LEE Christopher T. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
19 LIPPMAN Sam - - - 7% 34% 56% 3%
20 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan - 3% 17% 36% 32% 10% 1%
21 CHANG Austin 52% 40% 7% - - < 1% -
22 HARROCH Faustin - 4% 27% 40% 23% 6% 1%
23 KRYLTSOV Michael - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
23 LIU BAI HENG - 1% 9% 35% 44% 11% -
25 FLANAGAN James - - 3% 20% 50% 25% 2%
26 PARK Jayden - 4% 25% 45% 23% 3% -
27 QIU Yiran 60% 33% 6% < 1% - - -
28 FECAROTTA Ryan 3% 20% 42% 29% 6% - -
29 HO Christopher 9% 36% 39% 15% 1% - -
30 HARRIS Julien - 2% 12% 34% 38% 13% 1%
31 SU Desmond 1% 12% 43% 34% 9% 1% -
32 LI Samuel - 1% 8% 29% 42% 19% 2%
33 CHEN Fengyi(James) - 9% 34% 39% 16% 2% -
34 CHUNG Yeongbin - 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
35 BHUPATHIRAJU Arjun 1% 28% 43% 23% 5% - -
36 SUNDSTROM Wren 9% 42% 39% 9% 1% - -
37 MIRON Ioachim 1% 15% 44% 30% 8% 1% -
38 CHRISTIAN Jonathan - 15% 39% 34% 11% 1% -
39 THOMAS Noah 11% 53% 30% 6% - - -
40 FULTON Richard A. - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
41 SU Preston 4% 26% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
42 NICHOLSON John 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
43 ZHENG Jonathan 22% 52% 23% 3% - - -
44 CLEMENTE Aragorn 4% 25% 41% 24% 6% - -
45 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. - < 1% 1% 12% 35% 39% 14%
45 RYU Greyson 7% 36% 43% 12% 1% - -
47 GOWDA Sumeru 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
48 PETROV Mikhail - 5% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
49 PAINTER Zachary 8% 65% 23% 3% - - -
50 JONES Parker 49% 39% 10% 1% - - -
51 CLAYTON Byron 2% 20% 42% 30% 6% - -
52 LU Chang 4% 25% 41% 24% 6% - -
53 LI Alex 56% 37% 7% - - - -
54 HAMEL Gillian 94% 6% - - - - -
54 LI Jiabin 85% 15% 1% - - - -
56 WANG Albert 73% 25% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.