Battle in Seattle

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 29%
2 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
3 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
3 DZHUS Yurii 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
5 CHONG Tristan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 12%
6 CHEUNG Hank 100% 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5%
7 BEDWORTH Alistair 100% 100% 96% 70% 21% 3% -
8 WU Alistair 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53% 12%
9 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 64% 15%
10 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 58%
11 ASHIDA Tomoaki 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 20%
12 LEE Benjamin H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94%
13 SHAGIDANYAN German 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 11%
14 KIM Harrison 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 57% 6%
15 GAO Andrew 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3% -
16 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 100% 99% 86% 49% 15% 2%
17 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 5%
18 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
19 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59% 3%
20 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% 1%
21 CHANG Austin 100% 48% 8% - - < 1% -
22 HARROCH Faustin 100% 100% 96% 69% 30% 6% 1%
23 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
23 LIU BAI HENG 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 11% -
25 FLANAGAN James 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 27% 2%
26 PARK Jayden 100% 100% 96% 71% 25% 3% -
27 QIU Yiran 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
28 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 97% 77% 35% 6% - -
29 HO Christopher 100% 91% 56% 17% 2% - -
30 HARRIS Julien 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14% 1%
31 SU Desmond 100% 99% 87% 44% 10% 1% -
32 LI Samuel 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21% 2%
33 CHEN Fengyi(James) 100% 100% 91% 57% 18% 2% -
34 CHUNG Yeongbin 100% 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
35 BHUPATHIRAJU Arjun 100% 99% 71% 28% 5% - -
36 SUNDSTROM Wren 100% 91% 49% 10% 1% - -
37 MIRON Ioachim 100% 99% 83% 39% 9% 1% -
38 CHRISTIAN Jonathan 100% 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
39 THOMAS Noah 100% 89% 36% 6% - - -
40 FULTON Richard A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
41 SU Preston 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% 1% -
42 NICHOLSON John 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
43 ZHENG Jonathan 100% 78% 26% 4% - - -
44 CLEMENTE Aragorn 100% 96% 71% 30% 6% - -
45 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 14%
45 RYU Greyson 100% 93% 57% 13% 1% - -
47 GOWDA Sumeru 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
48 PETROV Mikhail 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8% 1%
49 PAINTER Zachary 100% 92% 26% 3% - - -
50 JONES Parker 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
51 CLAYTON Byron 100% 98% 78% 36% 6% - -
52 LU Chang 100% 96% 71% 30% 6% - -
53 LI Alex 100% 44% 8% - - - -
54 HAMEL Gillian 100% 6% - - - - -
54 LI Jiabin 100% 15% 1% - - - -
56 WANG Albert 100% 27% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.