Event Results
Division II at Fencers ClubSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman | V V V D V | V V V V | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 2 | LINDEMANN Marc | D V V V | V V V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 3 | FAGAN Margaret | V D V D D | V V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 3 | LINDEMANN Conrad | V V D V V | V V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 5 | LIU Jeremy | V D V V V | V D | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| 6 | SMITH Colin | V V D V V | V D | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 7 | PETERSON Dale | V D V V V | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 8 | MINOR Payson | V V D V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 9 | CHO Alexander | V D V V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 10 | PIERCE Aaron | D V V D V | D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 11 | FRIEDMAN Wesley | D V D V D | D | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 12 | SHAPIRO Henry | D V D V D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 13 | ZUCKER Collin | V D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 14 | COSSENTINO Natalia | D D V D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 15 | LAI Elvin | D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 16 | PENG Odin | D D D D | V D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 17 | KESWANI Syon | D D D D D | D | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |