Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Foil

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIE Su 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
2 ARYA Leela 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
3 KIM Sydney 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 YAO Abby 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
5 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 55%
6 ZEE Savannah 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31% 4%
7 ZHOU Joi 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
8 YANG Hanli 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
9 MIYASHIRO Katelyn 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
10 FANG Kelervia 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
11 VILLARAMA Kara 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
12 WU Chingfei Amber 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
13 LEVESQUE Brielle 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 18%
14 PEDERSEN Haley 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
15 LEE Abigail 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2% -
16 LI Sophia 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
17 KIM Natalie 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 19% 2%
18 DENG Claire 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1%
19 THERON Zoe 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
20 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
21 ZHANG Viviana 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
22 MONAT Jennifer 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
23 JIN Jada Y 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
24 LUCAS Ava 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
25 DVOIRIS Maya 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
26 TAN Shouyin 100% 100% 96% 72% 28% 4% -
27 TEWARI Amaira 100% 99% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
28 SHUM Maya 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
29 KIM Lauren 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
30 AHN Hayley 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% -
31 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 100% 98% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
32 LIM Kensie 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
33 CHOI Sophie 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2%
34 VOROBIEV Alexandra 100% 96% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
35 BHANGOO Paloma 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% - -
36 LING Camryn 100% 98% 69% 24% 3% - -
37 LI Chelsea 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
38 WILLIAMSON Tessa 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
39 LAY Apollonia 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21% 2%
40 WANG Ellen 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
41 LAVERY Lucy 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
42 YU Xintong 100% 58% 18% 3% - -
43 CHANG Janelle 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
44 IRELAND Moira 100% 96% 61% 17% 2% - -
45 GUTIERREZ Gia 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
46 CHO Rylee 100% 26% 3% - - - -
47 BROWN Favianna 100% 22% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.