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Event Results

Junior Women's Saber

Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCCSurprise Map

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 4:00 PM Pasadena Convention Center · Pasadena, CA, USA
43 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 ARNOLD Hali V V V V V V V V V V 4.1 5 +0.9
2 YU Stella V V D V V V V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
3 CHERUKURI Tanvi V V V V D V V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
3 PARK Chloe D V D V V V V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
5 LIN Ariel V V D V V V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
6 CAI Veronica V D V V V V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
7 DIECK Miranda P. V V V V D V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
8 SHEARER Alena V D D D V V V V D 3.2 2 -1.2
9 YU Skylar V V V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
10 NGUYEN Summer D V V V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
11 SEO Yunseo V D V V D V D 1.4 3 +1.6
12 RIVERA Brenda V V D V D V D 3.0 3 -
13 MAO Elsa V V D V D V D 3.2 3 -0.2
14 NING Lynn V D V V D V D 3.5 3 -0.5
15 SUZUKI HAN Emma Yukino D V D V V V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
16 CHANG Kaitlyn V V V D D V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
17 LAUREYNS Ainsley V V D V V D 2.6 4 +1.4
18 DUDNICK Morgan V V D V V D 4.0 4 -
19 XA-CHIN Sara V V V D V D 3.8 4 +0.2
20 SUNG Isabella D V V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
21 DENG Oscar V D V D V D 1.3 3 +1.7
22 MUNGUIA Mila V D V D V D 3.6 3 -0.6
23 ZHAI AMY V D V D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
24 DING Jolie V D V D V D 2.1 3 +0.9
25 GAIKWAD Ashmiee V D D V V D V D 4.8 3 -1.8
26 KIM Hyunseo V V V D D D V D 3.9 3 -0.9
27 MISHEV Lila D D V V D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
28 LIU Hannah D V D V D V D 3.2 2 -1.2
29 LIN Annika D V D D V V D 3.1 2 -1.1
30 JUNG Sienna D D V V D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
31 CHEN Colette D D D D V V D 2.6 1 -1.6
32 MAO anna D V D D D V 2.9 1 -1.9
33 VIGNEUX Nolwenn D D V D V D D 1.8 2 +0.2
34 HENRY Erin D D V D D D 1.3 1 -0.3
35 LIM Eunice D D V D D D 1.2 1 -0.2
36 VILLAMATER Mia Franchesca D D D D V D 0.5 1 +0.5
37 ZHAO Abbie D V D D D D 2.2 1 -1.2
38 PANCHAL Arya D D D V D D 0.9 1 +0.1
39 WELCH Greta D D D D D V D 0.6 1 +0.4
40 STAPLEY Claire D D D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4
40 SULEMAN Yasmin D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
42 BAIRD Kaleah D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
43 YUMIACO Samantha D D D D D D 0.6 0 -0.6

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%