Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Foil

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHENG Dalton - - - - 4% 35% 61%
2 GUTH Joseph - - - - 2% 22% 76%
3 TANG Alexander L. - - - - 3% 25% 71%
3 SHIN Noah - - - 1% 11% 41% 46%
5 ZHANG GAVIN J - 2% 10% 31% 41% 16%
6 PARK Gi Beom - - 1% 10% 31% 41% 18%
7 LEE Charles T - - 5% 24% 45% 26%
8 XIE Jicheng - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
9 JAZWINSKI Ryan - 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 3%
10 KIM Daniel - - 1% 7% 28% 46% 18%
10 HART-SYED declan - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 20%
12 LATORRE Leonardo - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 2%
13 LIU Aaron - - - 2% 18% 58% 23%
14 HUA Aaron - - - 3% 19% 43% 34%
15 ZHAI Derrick - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
16 KAYE Ben 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
17 YU William - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
18 HOLMES Alexiy - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
19 JIMENEZ Naveen - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
20 QU Richard - - 4% 21% 40% 29% 6%
21 YUAN Zhihe - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 22%
22 CHEN Ethan 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
23 CHANG Parker - 2% 14% 36% 37% 10%
24 LIM EUNSEONG - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
25 DI TELLA Ulises - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
26 MARTIRE Luca - - 6% 24% 39% 25% 6%
27 PAN Ethan - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
28 CHEN Steven 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
29 KIAYIAS Alexander 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
30 HUYNH Matthew - 1% 6% 26% 44% 24%
31 KINGSLEY Griffin - 7% 29% 39% 20% 4%
32 SONG Enoch 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 2%
33 OH Joshua 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 3%
34 XIE Jayden - 2% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1%
35 JIN Andy - - 2% 15% 37% 36% 10%
36 ZHAO Jason - 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
37 SAMUEL Lucas 1% 14% 37% 34% 12% 2%
38 ZHUANG Disheng (Eddie) - 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2%
39 YANG David H. - - 4% 20% 41% 31% 4%
40 YU Eric - 2% 10% 28% 38% 20% 2%
41 ZHANG Hanru - - 2% 9% 29% 40% 20%
42 LAM Kirin - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
43 LU Nathan - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
44 LIU Alex - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
45 GRACEY Gavin 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
46 OH Christopher - 3% 16% 36% 34% 9%
47 JIN Daniel - 2% 13% 37% 34% 13% 2%
48 SHAW Spencer - 2% 12% 34% 37% 14% 1%
49 LEE Thomas - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
50 WU Alexander 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 2% -
51 ROBERTSON Liam 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
52 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 29% 45% 22% 4% - -
53 DANTON Ryan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
54 CHOI Hunter 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
55 STANSBURY Desmond 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
56 ULYSSE Jacob 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
57 KUBBA Krish 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
58 ZHENG Austin - 5% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
59 FREL Vincent 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
60 HUANG Jinyao 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
61 AYYAGARI Abhiram 3% 31% 41% 21% 4% -
62 JIN George 2% 16% 38% 33% 11% 1%
63 PACK Lindsey 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
64 GODIN Willis - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8% 1%
65 CAO Joshua - 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
66 BEREKNYEI Lukas 4% 22% 40% 27% 7% - -
67 KAGAN Noah - 6% 23% 40% 26% 4% -
68 LU Hansen 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
69 LIU Yilin 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
70 CHENUTULA Abhinav 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
71 JIANG Bohan 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
72 YUN Max 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
73 ZHANG Ethan 4% 24% 44% 23% 5% - -
74 LEE Aeden 8% 31% 39% 18% 4% - -
75 CHEN Kevin 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
76 TSENG Lucas 4% 23% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
77 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
78 LEE Kyle 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
79 PAYNE Lynas 22% 44% 27% 7% 1% -
80 XU Ryan 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
81 CHUNG Royce 22% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
82 KRETZER Joseph 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
83 DEGRYSE Leopold 47% 41% 10% 1% - - -
84 FRIEDMAN Marcus 46% 42% 11% 1% - - -
85 WEBER Andrew 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
86 HUANG Anthony 31% 48% 18% 3% - - -
87 ST PIERRE Christian 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% - -
88 WANG Alexander 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
89 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
90 MACK Ethan 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
91 THOMPSON Owen 15% 43% 32% 9% 1% - -
92 DECASTRO Evan 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
93 PATEL Aarav 79% 20% 2% - - -
94 HYDER Armaan 2% 15% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
95 JORGE Elijah 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
95 DIFFIE Samuel 20% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
97 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 16% 46% 30% 7% 1% - -
98 SCZCUPAJ Connor 14% 41% 32% 11% 2% - -
99 BOWMAN Tyler 37% 47% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.