Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Foil

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 61%
2 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 SHIN Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
5 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
6 PARK Gi Beom 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
7 LEE Charles T 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
8 XIE Jicheng 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
9 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 3%
10 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 18%
10 HART-SYED declan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
12 LATORRE Leonardo 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 2%
13 LIU Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 23%
14 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
15 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
16 KAYE Ben 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
17 YU William 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
18 HOLMES Alexiy 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
19 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
20 QU Richard 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
21 YUAN Zhihe 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
22 CHEN Ethan 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
23 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
24 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
25 DI TELLA Ulises 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
26 MARTIRE Luca 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
27 PAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
28 CHEN Steven 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
29 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
30 HUYNH Matthew 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
31 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 92% 63% 24% 4%
32 SONG Enoch 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
33 OH Joshua 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
34 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 12% 1%
35 JIN Andy 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
36 ZHAO Jason 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
37 SAMUEL Lucas 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 2%
38 ZHUANG Disheng (Eddie) 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
39 YANG David H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 4%
40 YU Eric 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 22% 2%
41 ZHANG Hanru 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
42 LAM Kirin 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
43 LU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
44 LIU Alex 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
45 GRACEY Gavin 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
46 OH Christopher 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
47 JIN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 14% 2%
48 SHAW Spencer 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15% 1%
49 LEE Thomas 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
50 WU Alexander 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3% -
51 ROBERTSON Liam 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
52 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 71% 26% 5% - -
53 DANTON Ryan 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
54 CHOI Hunter 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
55 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
56 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
57 KUBBA Krish 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 1%
58 ZHENG Austin 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
59 FREL Vincent 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1% -
60 HUANG Jinyao 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
61 AYYAGARI Abhiram 100% 97% 66% 25% 5% -
62 JIN George 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
63 PACK Lindsey 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
64 GODIN Willis 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8% 1%
65 CAO Joshua 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
66 BEREKNYEI Lukas 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% - -
67 KAGAN Noah 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 4% -
68 LU Hansen 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
69 LIU Yilin 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
70 CHENUTULA Abhinav 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% -
71 JIANG Bohan 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
72 YUN Max 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1% -
73 ZHANG Ethan 100% 96% 72% 29% 5% - -
74 LEE Aeden 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% - -
75 CHEN Kevin 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
76 TSENG Lucas 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1% -
77 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
78 LEE Kyle 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
79 PAYNE Lynas 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% -
80 XU Ryan 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
81 CHUNG Royce 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
82 KRETZER Joseph 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% - -
83 DEGRYSE Leopold 100% 53% 11% 1% - - -
84 FRIEDMAN Marcus 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
85 WEBER Andrew 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
86 HUANG Anthony 100% 69% 20% 3% - - -
87 ST PIERRE Christian 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
88 WANG Alexander 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
89 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
90 MACK Ethan 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
91 THOMPSON Owen 100% 85% 42% 10% 1% - -
92 DECASTRO Evan 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
93 PATEL Aarav 100% 21% 2% - - -
94 HYDER Armaan 100% 98% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
95 JORGE Elijah 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
95 DIFFIE Samuel 100% 80% 38% 8% 1% - -
97 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 84% 37% 7% 1% - -
98 SCZCUPAJ Connor 100% 86% 44% 12% 2% - -
99 BOWMAN Tyler 100% 63% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.