Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Women's Saber

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BEAL Cameron - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
2 LIU Alyssa - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
3 LAMTAN Trinity - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
3 HOWELL Vivienne - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
5 KONG Hermione - - - 2% 12% 44% 43%
6 RADELL Zoe - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
7 TSUI Amelia - 3% 17% 37% 33% 11%
8 MEYERSTEIN Vivian - 2% 12% 34% 39% 14%
9 LI Gloria - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
10 YI Victoria - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
11 ZHANG Annalyn - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
11 YANG Rachel - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10%
13 RUBANOVA Aleksandra - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
14 CHANG Eleanor - - 1% 6% 25% 47% 22%
15 MOREHOUSE Zoe - 3% 18% 37% 32% 9%
16 LAM Hilda - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 6%
17 BIVIJI Rania 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
18 CHARUZA Tabetha 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
19 ALETO KAVALIOY Catarina - 2% 11% 33% 41% 13%
20 MACHIRAJU Ishaanvi 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
21 PRAKASH Lithika 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
22 TANG Julia 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1%
23 JIN Eileen - 6% 26% 39% 23% 5%
24 NAIK Annika 9% 31% 38% 18% 4% -
25 D'AMELJ Ludovica 7% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
26 KOTCHEN Audrey - 6% 22% 37% 28% 8%
27 ZHANG Elyna 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2% -
28 HENDERSON Lucie 4% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
29 SHAIKH Sarah 8% 38% 37% 15% 3% -
30 WANG ZOE 20% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
31 SHANG Skye 12% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
32 NARAYAN Riya 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
33 LEE Kady Hayen 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
34 RAPOPORT Alice Ria 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4%
35 ZHOU Charlotte - 3% 14% 34% 37% 13%
36 WANG Chloe 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1% -
37 TSE Mackenzie 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
38 KANG Hanna - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
39 BLAIR Isadora 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
40 NI Isabelle 1% 6% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
41 QIU Angela 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
43 LIM Jordyn 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
44 PAVONY Arya 19% 48% 26% 6% 1% -
45 SUN Elianna 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
46 GONG Shuaiyu (Helen) 3% 17% 36% 32% 10% 1%
47 MURTHI Lasya 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
48 LEE Rosalyn - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
49 MADDISON Emily 9% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1% -
50 CHEUNG Clara 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
51 LIN Martina 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
52 CHOI Emelie 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
53 VALENCIA Maria 36% 40% 18% 4% 1% - -
54 ENRIQUEZ Ava 41% 41% 15% 3% - -
55 XUE Mia 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% -
56 GRAHAM Dolly 3% 18% 34% 31% 12% 2% -
57 CRUZ Lala 63% 32% 5% - - -
57 VENZKE Natasha 42% 42% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.