Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Women's Saber

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BEAL Cameron 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
2 LIU Alyssa 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
3 LAMTAN Trinity 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
3 HOWELL Vivienne 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
5 KONG Hermione 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 43%
6 RADELL Zoe 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
7 TSUI Amelia 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
8 MEYERSTEIN Vivian 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
9 LI Gloria 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 23% 4%
10 YI Victoria 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
11 ZHANG Annalyn 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
11 YANG Rachel 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10%
13 RUBANOVA Aleksandra 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
14 CHANG Eleanor 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 22%
15 MOREHOUSE Zoe 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 9%
16 LAM Hilda 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 6%
17 BIVIJI Rania 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
18 CHARUZA Tabetha 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
19 ALETO KAVALIOY Catarina 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
20 MACHIRAJU Ishaanvi 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
21 PRAKASH Lithika 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
22 TANG Julia 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1%
23 JIN Eileen 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
24 NAIK Annika 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
25 D'AMELJ Ludovica 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
26 KOTCHEN Audrey 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8%
27 ZHANG Elyna 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
28 HENDERSON Lucie 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
29 SHAIKH Sarah 100% 92% 55% 18% 3% -
30 WANG ZOE 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
31 SHANG Skye 100% 88% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
32 NARAYAN Riya 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
33 LEE Kady Hayen 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
34 RAPOPORT Alice Ria 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
35 ZHOU Charlotte 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
36 WANG Chloe 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1% -
37 TSE Mackenzie 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
38 KANG Hanna 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
39 BLAIR Isadora 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
40 NI Isabelle 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
41 QIU Angela 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 16% 2%
43 LIM Jordyn 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
44 PAVONY Arya 100% 81% 33% 7% 1% -
45 SUN Elianna 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
46 GONG Shuaiyu (Helen) 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% 1%
47 MURTHI Lasya 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% 1% -
48 LEE Rosalyn 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
49 MADDISON Emily 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
50 CHEUNG Clara 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
51 LIN Martina 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
52 CHOI Emelie 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
53 VALENCIA Maria 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
54 ENRIQUEZ Ava 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
55 XUE Mia 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
56 GRAHAM Dolly 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
57 CRUZ Lala 100% 37% 6% - - -
57 VENZKE Natasha 100% 58% 16% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.