RCFC Friday Night D & Under Foil #2

Div III Mixed Foil

Friday, January 23, 2026 at 7:30 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus - 1% 10% 42% 47%
2 ZHANG Raphael - 1% 7% 34% 58%
3 RYU Greyson - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
3 CHEN Kurtis - 5% 38% 44% 13%
5 FECAROTTA Ryan - 1% 9% 40% 50%
6 ISLAM Asif - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
7 ZHENG Jonathan - 2% 27% 48% 22%
8 WU Elynna - 3% 22% 53% 22%
9 LIGERET Stella 1% 13% 38% 37% 10%
10 JONES Parker 9% 32% 39% 18% 2%
11 NICHOLSON John 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
12 LU Chang - 1% 17% 47% 35%
13 QIU Yiran 12% 37% 36% 13% 1%
14 CHAN Xavier 12% 39% 36% 11% 1%
15 SCHULTZ Sumi 7% 33% 44% 15% 1%
16 WANG Kaiwen 6% 30% 43% 19% 2%
17 HOLCOMB Michael 11% 42% 36% 9% 1%
18 LEE Michael 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1%
19 WANG Albert 45% 42% 12% 1% -
20 HINKLE Paul 41% 50% 9% 1% -
21 BARSOUKOVA Nicole 5% 24% 38% 26% 8% 1%
22 ROSS Ellie 9% 38% 42% 10% 1%
23 BHAT Aaptha 37% 45% 16% 2% -
23 RIDEHALGH Xander 9% 40% 39% 12% 1%
25 GORELIK Jacob 50% 38% 10% 1% - -
26 GORELIK Gabriel 45% 49% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.