RCFC Friday Night D & Under Foil #2

Div III Mixed Foil

Friday, January 23, 2026 at 7:30 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
2 ZHANG Raphael 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 RYU Greyson 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24%
3 CHEN Kurtis 100% 100% 95% 57% 13%
5 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
6 ISLAM Asif 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
7 ZHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 70% 22%
8 WU Elynna 100% 100% 97% 75% 22%
9 LIGERET Stella 100% 99% 86% 48% 10%
10 JONES Parker 100% 91% 60% 20% 2%
11 NICHOLSON John 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
12 LU Chang 100% 100% 99% 82% 35%
13 QIU Yiran 100% 88% 50% 14% 1%
14 CHAN Xavier 100% 88% 49% 12% 1%
15 SCHULTZ Sumi 100% 93% 60% 16% 1%
16 WANG Kaiwen 100% 94% 65% 21% 2%
17 HOLCOMB Michael 100% 89% 46% 10% 1%
18 LEE Michael 100% 98% 79% 40% 9% 1%
19 WANG Albert 100% 55% 13% 1% -
20 HINKLE Paul 100% 59% 9% 1% -
21 BARSOUKOVA Nicole 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
22 ROSS Ellie 100% 91% 53% 11% 1%
23 BHAT Aaptha 100% 63% 18% 2% -
23 RIDEHALGH Xander 100% 91% 52% 13% 1%
25 GORELIK Jacob 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
26 GORELIK Gabriel 100% 55% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.