January SJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Friday, January 23, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Renasant Convention Center - Memphis, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
2 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
3 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
3 ZHOU Chenqiao 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 8%
5 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 12%
6 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
7 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 35%
8 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
9 WU Tong 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 12%
10 WANDJI Noah 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
11 CHEN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
12 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
13 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 36% 6%
14 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
15 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
16 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
17 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14%
18 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
19 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
20 ZHOU Shawn 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
21 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
21 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
23 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
24 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
25 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
26 GUTH Joseph 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
27 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15% 1%
29 LU Andy 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
30 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
31 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
32 CHOI Benjamin 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
33 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
34 LU Hongyu 100% 99% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
35 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
36 LE Jacob H. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
37 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 8%
38 YANG Charles 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
39 OZAWA Taishi 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
40 ZHENG Marcus 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3%
41 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
42 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
43 XIE Buster 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
44 LIU William 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
45 CHENG Logan 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
46 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
47 YOON Junhyeok 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
48 SHENG Dalton 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
49 CHOI Colin 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% - -
50 ELKOUSY Zain al Din 100% 100% 93% 67% 25% 3%
50 SHIN Noah 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
50 TAY Daniel Yee Jye 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
53 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
54 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
55 WONG Evan 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
56 FANG Haoyu 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
57 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
58 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
59 BAI Brian 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 13% 2%
60 CHOI Ethan 100% 97% 78% 37% 8% 1%
61 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
62 BIELER Mason 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
63 TANG Albert 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 8%
64 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 4%
65 LI Edison M. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
66 HART-SYED declan 100% 98% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
67 KIM Brian 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
68 KIM Daniel 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
69 ARIZA Abraham J. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
70 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
70 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
70 MCKEE Calvin 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
73 HAYES Stewart 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
74 CHA James 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
75 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
76 MIRON Ioachim 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
77 SEIGEL Duncan 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
78 ZHANG Jacob 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
79 PAN Ethan 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
80 YANG David H. 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
81 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
82 CLARK Benjamin 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
83 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
84 BAE Eugene 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 2%
85 WONG Jacob W. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
86 LEE Jaden 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
87 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
88 HICKEY Connor 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
89 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
90 LI Lucas 100% 90% 56% 21% 4% - -
91 XU Nathan 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
91 CAO Justin 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
93 FUKUDA Brando 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
94 CHANG Jeremy 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
95 WONG Braxton 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
96 KAO Yi Li 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
97 JIN Andy 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
98 PARK Sky 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
99 ZOU Aaron 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% - -
100 YU Kinton 100% 97% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
101 HUA Aaron 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
102 TANG August L. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
103 LEPAROUX Jean 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
104 CHENG Mason 100% 75% 29% 5% - -
106 BAI Austin 100% 97% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
107 SHANNON Jack 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
108 PE Noah 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1% -
109 ZAIDI Adil 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
110 FAN Sean 100% 54% 12% 1% - - -
111 KARLEKAR Ved 100% 25% 3% - - - -
112 CHEN Owen 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
113 LU Alex 100% 93% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
114 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin 100% 80% 32% 6% 1% - -
115 GAO Andrew 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
116 HUANG Nathan 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
117 FLYNN Oliver 100% 25% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.