Saratoga Open Youth Saber Tournament

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Sunday, January 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Saratoga Fencing Club - Saratoga, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LI Sky - 1% 12% 37% 38% 12%
2 YUNG Nathan - 3% 24% 67% 6%
3 LEE Jadyn 2% 15% 35% 35% 13%
3 DESHPANDE Saisha 1% 9% 32% 38% 18% 3%
5 SEVERT David 5% 32% 46% 15% 1%
6 XIE Jingyan 2% 28% 41% 23% 5% -
7 CLAES Emma 22% 43% 28% 7% -
8 PAN Vivienne - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
9 BLACK Conall - 4% 20% 42% 33% -
10 CHEN Rylan 1% 16% 49% 32% 2%
11 LI Diya 13% 37% 36% 13% 1% -
12 GO Noa 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
13 LORENTZEN Felix 2% 14% 36% 36% 11% 1%
14 GOURJI Roman 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
15 GANGARAMANI Shiv 3% 39% 41% 15% 2%
16 LAM Nathan 6% 28% 39% 22% 4% -
17 XIAO Lucas 39% 46% 14% 1% -
18 REICH Emily 23% 47% 26% 5% -
19 CHEN Ethan - < 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
20 VADOR Jaswant 5% 42% 38% 13% 2% -
21 MACCARRA Thomas < 1% 4% 23% 48% 24%
22 GABRIEL Charles < 1% 3% 17% 43% 37%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.