Saratoga Open Youth Saber Tournament

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Sunday, January 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Saratoga Fencing Club - Saratoga, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LI Sky 100% 100% 99% 86% 49% 12%
2 YUNG Nathan 100% 100% 97% 73% 6%
3 LEE Jadyn 100% 98% 82% 47% 13%
3 DESHPANDE Saisha 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
5 SEVERT David 100% 95% 62% 17% 1%
6 XIE Jingyan 100% 98% 69% 28% 6% -
7 CLAES Emma 100% 78% 35% 7% -
8 PAN Vivienne 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
9 BLACK Conall 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% -
10 CHEN Rylan 100% 99% 83% 34% 2%
11 LI Diya 100% 87% 50% 14% 1% -
12 GO Noa 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
13 LORENTZEN Felix 100% 98% 84% 48% 11% 1%
14 GOURJI Roman 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
15 GANGARAMANI Shiv 100% 97% 57% 16% 2%
16 LAM Nathan 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% -
17 XIAO Lucas 100% 61% 15% 1% -
18 REICH Emily 100% 77% 31% 5% -
19 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
20 VADOR Jaswant 100% 95% 53% 16% 2% -
21 MACCARRA Thomas 100% 100% 96% 72% 24%
22 GABRIEL Charles 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.