NEUSFA Tom Gorman Beanpot Open

Senior Men's Saber

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2%
2 WASCO Andrew 100% 96% 73% 37% 10% 1%
3 MICHELL Bailey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
3 LORENZ Evan 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
5 ZONG Yujie 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
6 ZABARSKY Asa 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
7 SUMNER Nicholas 100% 100% 95% 69% 21% 1%
8 KAPOOR Krish 100% 71% 25% 3% - -
9 BURENKOV Michael 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
10 DESANTO Charles 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
11 LI Qiuye 100% 100% 100% 94% 62% 11%
12 CAI Jingyuan 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
13 PODDAR Shameek 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
14 CLEMENTS Marcus 100% 78% 32% 5% - -
15 MERCURE Edward (Tony) 100% 91% 55% 14% 1% -
16 MILEKIC Luka C. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
17 THACH Tri 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
18 MCFARLAND Kai 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.