AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #3

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YANG Emma 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
2 LEE Rebecca 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
3 MUKKU Emily 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
3 WU Angela 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
5 YU Jiaming Lisa 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 4%
6 LIU Aubrey 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
7 LI Elaine 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
8 HENDERSON Ella 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
9 SCHMIDT Alexis 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
10 LI Celine 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
11 MENDIRATTA Olivia 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
12 SANTIAGO Mara 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
13 LUO Xinyue 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8%
14 CHADHA Ditvi 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
15 TRUONG Chloe 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
16 MARTYNOVA Veronica 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
17 YAO Astrid 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
18 YU Elise 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
19 TSE Emma 100% 88% 53% 17% 3% -
20 CHOONG Lumen 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
21 WAGENAAR Ava 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
22 AGLIPAY Alyssa 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
23 NAYAR Saisha 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
24 YE Charlotte 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
25 TRUONG Camilla 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
26 CHALFIN Samantha 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
27 MRABET Maya 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
28 KUNG Chang-Jie 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
29 PARK Christine 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
30 MULCHANDANI Anya 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.