TFC February 2026 Fence-a-thon

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 2:00 PM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Chloe 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% < 1%
2 LI Claire 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
3 IMMERMAN Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
3 KIM Taerin 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
5 SIN Chad 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% -
6 PICACHE Camilla 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
7 RUAN Alexander 100% 97% 78% 37% 7% -
8 FUNG Andrew 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
9 SUN Zoey 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
10 PARKER Emerson 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
11 TRUONG Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 36%
12 XIE Caden 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
13 XIE Chen 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1%
14 CHEN Yingying 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
15 LU Jocelyn 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
16 LI Shaun 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1%
17 DELL Royce 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
18 CHANG Theodore 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 1%
19 TRUONG Eleanor 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.