IFC 2026 Winter Classic

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Indianapolis Fencing Club - Noblesville, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 THOMAS Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77% 23%
2 FULLER II Thomas 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 7%
3 RESHEIDAT Shadi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 52%
3 HAGGARD Dominic 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
5 CARDENAS Nathan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
6 REED Dusty (Allen) 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 11%
7 EDWARDS Tim 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 18% 1%
8 MYERS Lewis 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 2%
9 STAUBITZ Marc 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 20% 2%
10 WILTSHIRE Kaden 100% 100% 85% 43% 8% - -
11 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 100% 98% 71% 28% 4%
12 PAMERLEAU Ian 100% 100% 99% 84% 43% 8%
13 ZALPURI Zorin 100% 51% 5% - - -
14 FRANK Luke 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
15 NURRENBERN Elijah 100% 100% 93% 48% 10% 1% -
16 PETTIJOHN Luke 100% 61% 8% - - -
17 SITU Sammy 100% 97% 54% 9% 1% - -
18 HOYT Tyler 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% - -
19 DUTTON Kimberly 100% 22% 2% - - - -
20 NOSKO zachary 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.