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Event Results

Unrated Men's Foil

The Midwinter MeleeSurprise Map

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM Candlewood Fencing Center · newtown, CT, USA
5 finishers
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 BARBANEL Joseph V V V V V V 3.5 4 +0.5
2 VAN DER HARTEN Lukas D V V V V D 1.7 3 +1.3
3 MCCORMICK Chase D D V D V D 2.0 1 -1.0
3 BELL Jack V V D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
5 FLYNN Evan D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%