2026 RedStar Winter Classic

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 7, 2026 at 8:00 AM

RedStar Fencing Club - Chicago, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MORA Johan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
2 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 31%
3 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 97% 79% 37% 5%
3 EDWARDS Connor 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
5 JU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
6 DUBOISKI Siarhei 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 58%
7 KATWAN Adam 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
8 SMITH Erick 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 6%
9 WILEY Conor 100% 99% 83% 37% 2% -
10 MILLER Douglas 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35% 5%
11 HONG Derek 100% 95% 57% 14% 1% -
12 CAO Leon 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 36%
13 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 99% 81% 32% 2% -
14 SHI Boris 100% 98% 71% 25% 3% -
15 DAVIS Benjamin 100% 80% 33% 6% - -
15 YU Leo 100% 99% 84% 40% 8% -
17 DURHAM Porter 100% 99% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
18 SWOPE Farren 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
19 BROUGHAM Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
20 KAIHATSU Edward 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 3%
21 LI Andy 100% 97% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
22 GREEN Nate 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
23 MUMFORD Josh 100% 98% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
24 PANKOTAI Alexander 100% 35% 5% - - - -
25 HAVRIUSHENKO Vladyslava 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
26 METZ Evan 100% 95% 51% 11% - -
27 NOWICKI William 100% 21% 1% - - -
28 KASHUBA Nazar 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
29 LEYLAND John 100% 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
29 GU Jonathan 100% 37% 3% - - - -
31 LEE Katherine 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% -
32 GONZALEZ Eddy 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.