2026 RedStar Winter Classic

Div II Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 7, 2026 at 3:30 PM

RedStar Fencing Club - Chicago, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EDWARDS Connor 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1%
2 WHEELOCK Bryan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
3 GREEN Nate 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40% 6%
3 HONG Derek 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
5 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
6 SMITH Erick 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
7 RIVERA Leahy 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
8 HERRERA Xavier 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
9 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 2%
10 LIN Joseph 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
11 ZOLDAN Nolabelle 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
12 YU Leo 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
13 SWOPE Farren 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
14 HOOGSTRA Lucy 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
15 WILEY Conor 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
16 DURHAM Porter 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 8%
17 LOVAN Audrey 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 2%
18 LI Andy 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
19 MILLER Douglas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
20 MUMFORD Josh 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
21 LEYLAND John 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 3%
22 KOZINSKI Allison 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
23 KONIG Oliver 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
24 METZ Evan 100% 99% 89% 52% 15% 2% -
25 HAVRIUSHENKO Vladyslava 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1% -
26 GONZALEZ Eddy 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% -
27 LEVY Gabrielle 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
28 STAMPS Jasper 100% 92% 31% 5% - -
29 GU Jonathan 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
30 KASHUBA Nazar 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
31 PANKOTAI Alexander 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% - -
32 LIU Serena 100% 88% 31% 5% - - -
33 CAROL Emmaline 100% 99% 83% 48% 17% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.