Youth Development Event- Portland, Maine

Unrated Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 7, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Portland Fencing Center - Portland, ME, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RENSHAW Hunter - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 13%
2 OGILVIE Marsden 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% < 1%
3 KALAPALA Olivia 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
4 LAVOIE Cecilia - 5% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1%
5 JENKINS Charles - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
6 GIGUERE Ari 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
7 RUPERTI Aria 3% 22% 49% 23% 4% - -
8 OLESON Ari - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
9 ALTO Erin - 2% 15% 40% 33% 9% -
10 MARTIN Lu - 1% 10% 38% 37% 12% 1%
11 BRODER Olivia - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
12 VOYVODICH Elias - 3% 16% 33% 33% 14% 1%
13 WILKINSON Milo 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
14 LANDON Forest - 6% 25% 39% 25% 5% -
15 JANAITIS Sawyer - - 4% 20% 38% 29% 7%
16 FEINDEL-COLBY Kai - 3% 31% 43% 20% 3% -
17 DANE Orson 16% 35% 31% 15% 4% 1% -
18 DOUGLASS Parker 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
19 BIANCULLI Richard 10% 36% 38% 14% 2% - -
20 TAGGERSELL-GRAEF Luna < 1% 3% 21% 41% 30% 5% -
21 HICKS Hadley 47% 38% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.