Youth Development Event- Portland, Maine

Unrated Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 7, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Portland Fencing Center - Portland, ME, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RENSHAW Hunter 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
2 OGILVIE Marsden 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% < 1%
3 KALAPALA Olivia 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 10% 1%
4 LAVOIE Cecilia 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
5 JENKINS Charles 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
6 GIGUERE Ari 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
7 RUPERTI Aria 100% 97% 76% 27% 4% - -
8 OLESON Ari 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
9 ALTO Erin 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 9% -
10 MARTIN Lu 100% 100% 99% 89% 50% 13% 1%
11 BRODER Olivia 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1%
12 VOYVODICH Elias 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 1%
13 WILKINSON Milo 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
14 LANDON Forest 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5% -
15 JANAITIS Sawyer 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
16 FEINDEL-COLBY Kai 100% 100% 97% 66% 23% 3% -
17 DANE Orson 100% 84% 50% 19% 4% 1% -
18 DOUGLASS Parker 100% 96% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
19 BIANCULLI Richard 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% - -
20 TAGGERSELL-GRAEF Luna 100% 100% 97% 76% 35% 5% -
21 HICKS Hadley 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.