UVA Cavalier Open 2026

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, February 7, 2026 at 4:00 PM

UVA Aquatics and Fitness Center - Charlottesville, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEMP Brannon A. - - 1% 8% 31% 48% 12%
2 ALLEN Asa - 1% 8% 31% 42% 17%
3 WANG Ziyao 2% 16% 36% 34% 11% 1%
3 DADIO Daniel - 1% 9% 31% 40% 18%
5 SU Ji - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
6 GOSNELL James - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
7 SHELLY Emery 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
8 WERNER Alexander 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
9 BELL Gabriel 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% -
10 ALPAN Arda - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
11 STRUMLAUF Jacob 1% 12% 37% 35% 13% 2%
12 TEPLESKY Sasha 21% 47% 26% 6% 1% -
13 DIEBLER Noah 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3%
14 SILK Ryan - 4% 19% 38% 31% 9%
15 SCHUPPIN Charles 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
16 COLBY Jim 1% 13% 34% 34% 14% 2%
17 KLINE logan - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
18 CLEMMONS William 41% 44% 14% 2% - -
19 SIMS Martin L. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.